Burnley vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Manchester United Premier League match on January 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester United
2
:
2
Turf Moor
Burnley
Turf Moor
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
Manchester UnitedMNU
A. Heaven (o.g.) (13')
Soccer ball icon
J. Anthony (66')
Soccer ball icon
B. Sesko (50')
Soccer ball icon
B. Sesko (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Burnley
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Manchester United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: O. Sonne replaces M. Edwards
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Foster (Burnley) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    S. Parker (Burnley) cautioned
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: S. Lacey replaces M. Ugarte
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces A. Broja
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces M. Cunha
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: K. Mainoo replaces Casemiro
  8. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony, assisted by M. Edwards
    2-2
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Mount replaces B. Fernandes
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: L. Yoro replaces A. Heaven
  11. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Sesko, assisted by P. Dorgu
    2-1
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Anthony replaces H. Mejbri
  13. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Sesko, assisted by B. Fernandes
    1-1
  14. 41'
    Yellow Card
    H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned
  15. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Burnley by A. Heaven (o.g.)
    0-1

Burnley vs. Manchester United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Manchester United
  • Date: Wednesday, January 7, 2026
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +410, Manchester United -135, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Burnley: 24.3%
  • Manchester United: 52.4%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-1 Manchester United (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Burnley vs. Manchester United? Prediction & correct score

Manchester United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.4%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-1 Manchester United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Burnley vs. Manchester United, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.