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Brighton vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Brighton vs. Burnley at the Premier League on January 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
0
2
Jan 3, 3PM Amex Stadium
Brighton
Jan 3, 3PM Amex Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
G. Rutter (29')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Ayari (47')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: T. Watson replaces B. Gruda
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Banel replaces J. Anthony
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Milner replaces D. Gomez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. De Cuyper replaces K. Mitoma
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Welbeck replaces G. Rutter
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: P. Gross replaces C. Kostoulas
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces A. Broja
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: O. Sonne replaces L. Ugochukwu
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: M. Edwards replaces J. Bruun Larsen
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by Y. Ayari
0-2
44'
Yellow Card
B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
Florentino (Burnley) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by G. Rutter, assisted by C. Kostoulas
0-1
22'
Yellow Card
J. Laurent (Burnley) cautioned

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Brighton vs. Burnley: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Brighton vs. Burnley prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton -220, Burnley +650, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Brighton: 65.7%
  • Burnley: 14.5%
  • Draw: 19.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Brighton 2-0 Burnley, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Brighton is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 65.7% probability, while Burnley sits at 14.5%, with the draw at 19.8%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Brighton vs. Burnley prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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