Brighton vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Burnley Premier League match on January 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Burnley
0
2
Amex Stadium
Brighton
Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
G. Rutter (29')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Ayari (47')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Burnley
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: T. Watson replaces B. Gruda
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Banel replaces J. Anthony
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: J. Milner replaces D. Gomez
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: M. De Cuyper replaces K. Mitoma
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: D. Welbeck replaces G. Rutter
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: P. Gross replaces C. Kostoulas
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces A. Broja
  9. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: O. Sonne replaces L. Ugochukwu
  10. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: M. Edwards replaces J. Bruun Larsen
  11. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by Y. Ayari
    0-2
  12. 44'
    Yellow Card
    B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
  13. 39'
    Yellow Card
    Florentino (Burnley) cautioned
  14. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by G. Rutter, assisted by C. Kostoulas
    0-1
  15. 22'
    Yellow Card
    J. Laurent (Burnley) cautioned

Brighton vs. Burnley: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton -220, Burnley +650, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 65.7%
  • Burnley: 14.5%
  • Draw: 19.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 2-0 Burnley (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Brighton vs. Burnley? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.7%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 2-0 Burnley.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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