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Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on December 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
4
Dec 30, 8:15PM Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Dec 30, 8:15PM Emirates Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Gabriel (48')
M. Zubimendi (52')
L. Trossard (69')
Gabriel Jesus (78')
O. Watkins (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins
1-4
90'
Yellow Card
O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: B. White replaces J. Timber
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: N. Madueke replaces B. Saka
82'
Yellow Card
L. Bogarde (Aston Villa) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Jimoh-Aloba replaces M. Rogers
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: G. Hemmings replaces Y. Tielemans
79'
Yellow Card
Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal) cautioned
78'
Goal scored for Arsenal by Gabriel Jesus, assisted by L. Trossard
0-4
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus replaces V. Gyokeres
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Lewis-Skelly replaces Gabriel
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: C. Norgaard replaces M. Merino
69'
Goal scored for Arsenal by L. Trossard, assisted by J. Timber
0-3
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces J. Sancho
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Garcia replaces E. Buendia
52'
Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Zubimendi, assisted by M. Odegaard
0-2
48'
Goal scored for Arsenal by Gabriel
0-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. McGinn replaces A. Onana
45'
Yellow Card
M. Merino (Arsenal) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Arsenal vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Tuesday, December 30, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Arsenal -240, Aston Villa +750, Draw +420
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-135/+123)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Arsenal: 68.9%
  • Aston Villa: 11.9%
  • Draw: 19.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Arsenal 2-0 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Arsenal a win probability of 68.9%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 11.9%. The chance of a draw is 19.2%.

Summary

Our Arsenal vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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