Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Premier League match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
1
2
Villa Park
Aston Villa
Villa Park
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
M. Cash (36')
Soccer ball icon
E. Buendia (90')
Soccer ball icon
L. Trossard (52')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Aston Villa
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Arsenal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by E. Buendia, assisted by B. Kamara
    1-2
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: V. Lindelof replaces P. Torres
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces M. Cash
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces L. Trossard
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Lewis-Skelly replaces R. Calafiori
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: N. Madueke replaces B. Saka
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces J. McGinn
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces A. Onana
  9. 74'
    Yellow Card
    B. Saka (Arsenal) cautioned
  10. 72'
    Yellow Card
    R. Calafiori (Arsenal) cautioned
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces O. Watkins
  12. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by L. Trossard
    1-1
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: V. Gyokeres replaces M. Merino
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces E. Eze
  15. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cash
    0-1

Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa +340, Arsenal -110, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+106/-130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 19.8%
  • Arsenal: 56.7%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Aston Villa vs. Arsenal? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.7%.

The most likely correct score is Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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