Newcastle vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Burnley in the World Cup on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Burnley
1
2
Dec 6, 3PM
Newcastle
Dec 6, 3PM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
Bruno Guimaraes (31')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gordon (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Lucas Pires (43')
Red Card icon
Z. Flemming (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming (pen.)
1-2
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Tonali replaces J. Ramsey
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: M. Edwards replaces H. Ekdal
89'
Yellow Card
J. Laurent (Burnley) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Z. Flemming replaces A. Broja
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Anthony replaces J. Bruun Larsen
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: Y. Wissa replaces N. Woltemade
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces A. Gordon
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces Florentino
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Hall replaces D. Burn
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces J. Willock
52'
Yellow Card
V. Livramento (Newcastle) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Worrall replaces L. Foster
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon (pen.)
0-2
43'
Red Card
Lucas Pires (Burnley) sent off with a straight red card
35'
Yellow Card
K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes
0-1

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Newcastle vs. Burnley: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Burnley prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -300, Burnley +950, draw +480
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-167/+144)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Newcastle: 71.3%
  • Burnley: 11.3%
  • Draw: 17.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Newcastle 2-0 Burnley.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 71.3%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Burnley prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.