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Newcastle vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Burnley Premier League match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
1
2
Dec 6, 10:00 AM ET
Dec 6, 10:00 AM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
Bruno Guimaraes (31')
A. Gordon (pen.) (45')
Lucas Pires (43')
Z. Flemming (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Newcastle
- Burnley
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Burnley by Z. Flemming (pen.)
1-2
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Tonali replaces J. Ramsey
Substitution for Burnley: M. Edwards replaces H. Ekdal
J. Laurent (Burnley) cautioned
Substitution for Burnley: Z. Flemming replaces A. Broja
Substitution for Burnley: J. Anthony replaces J. Bruun Larsen
Substitution for Newcastle: Y. Wissa replaces N. Woltemade
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces Florentino
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Hall replaces D. Burn
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces J. Willock
V. Livramento (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Burnley: J. Worrall replaces L. Foster
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon (pen.)
0-2
Lucas Pires (Burnley) sent off with a straight red card
K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes
0-1
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Newcastle vs. Burnley: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Burnley
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle -300, Burnley +950, draw +480
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-167/+144)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Newcastle: 71.3%
- Burnley: 11.3%
- Draw: 17.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Newcastle 2-0 Burnley (12.0%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Newcastle vs. Burnley? Prediction & correct score
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 71.3%.
The most likely correct score is Newcastle 2-0 Burnley.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Burnley, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
