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Leeds vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Leeds vs. Liverpool at the Premier League on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
3
:
3
Dec 6, 5:30PM Elland Road
Leeds
Dec 6, 5:30PM Elland Road
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeedsLU
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.) (73')
Soccer ball icon
A. Stach (75')
Soccer ball icon
A. Tanaka (90')
Soccer ball icon
H. Ekitike (48')
Soccer ball icon
H. Ekitike (50')
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D. Szoboszlai (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LU
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
LFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Gomez (Liverpool) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces J. Bogle
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by A. Tanaka
3-3
89'
Yellow Card
P. Struijk (Leeds) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces E. Ampadu
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Isak replaces H. Ekitike
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: W. Endo replaces C. Gakpo
81'
Yellow Card
V. van Dijk (Liverpool) cautioned
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by D. Szoboszlai, assisted by R. Gravenberch
3-2
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by A. Stach, assisted by B. Aaronson
2-2
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.)
2-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: J. Gomez replaces C. Bradley
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces F. Wirtz
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces N. Okafor
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: B. Aaronson replaces J. Bijol
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by H. Ekitike, assisted by C. Bradley
2-0
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by H. Ekitike
1-0
45'
Yellow Card
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) cautioned
20'
Yellow Card
J. Bogle (Leeds) cautioned

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Leeds vs. Liverpool: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Leeds vs. Liverpool prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +370, Liverpool -130, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+106)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Leeds: 19.1%
  • Liverpool: 59.3%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Leeds 1-1 Liverpool, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Leeds is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 19.1% probability, while Liverpool sits at 59.3%, with the draw at 21.6%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Leeds vs. Liverpool prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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