Leeds vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Liverpool Premier League match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
3
:
3
Dec 6, 12:30 PM ET Elland Road
Leeds
Dec 6, 12:30 PM ET Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.) (73')
Soccer ball icon
A. Stach (75')
Soccer ball icon
A. Tanaka (90')
Soccer ball icon
H. Ekitike (48')
Soccer ball icon
H. Ekitike (50')
Soccer ball icon
D. Szoboszlai (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Gomez (Liverpool) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces J. Bogle
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by A. Tanaka
3-3
89'
Yellow Card
P. Struijk (Leeds) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces E. Ampadu
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Isak replaces H. Ekitike
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: W. Endo replaces C. Gakpo
81'
Yellow Card
V. van Dijk (Liverpool) cautioned
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by D. Szoboszlai, assisted by R. Gravenberch
3-2
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by A. Stach, assisted by B. Aaronson
2-2
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.)
2-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: J. Gomez replaces C. Bradley
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces F. Wirtz
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces N. Okafor
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: B. Aaronson replaces J. Bijol
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by H. Ekitike, assisted by C. Bradley
2-0
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by H. Ekitike
1-0
45'
Yellow Card
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) cautioned
20'
Yellow Card
J. Bogle (Leeds) cautioned

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Leeds vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +370, Liverpool -130, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 19.1%
  • Liverpool: 59.3%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Liverpool (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.3%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Leeds vs. Liverpool, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.