Leeds vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Liverpool Premier League match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Liverpool
3
:
3
Elland Road
Leeds
Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.) (73')
Soccer ball icon
A. Stach (75')
Soccer ball icon
A. Tanaka (90')
Soccer ball icon
H. Ekitike (48')
Soccer ball icon
H. Ekitike (50')
Soccer ball icon
D. Szoboszlai (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gomez (Liverpool) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces J. Bogle
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by A. Tanaka
    3-3
  4. 89'
    Yellow Card
    P. Struijk (Leeds) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces E. Ampadu
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Isak replaces H. Ekitike
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: W. Endo replaces C. Gakpo
  8. 81'
    Yellow Card
    V. van Dijk (Liverpool) cautioned
  9. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by D. Szoboszlai, assisted by R. Gravenberch
    3-2
  10. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by A. Stach, assisted by B. Aaronson
    2-2
  11. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin (pen.)
    2-1
  12. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: J. Gomez replaces C. Bradley
  13. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces F. Wirtz
  14. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces N. Okafor
  15. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: B. Aaronson replaces J. Bijol
  16. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
  17. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by H. Ekitike, assisted by C. Bradley
    2-0
  18. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by H. Ekitike
    1-0
  19. 45'
    Yellow Card
    C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
  20. 26'
    Yellow Card
    G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) cautioned
  21. 20'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bogle (Leeds) cautioned

Leeds vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +370, Liverpool -130, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 19.1%
  • Liverpool: 59.3%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Liverpool (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.3%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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