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Leeds vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Leeds vs. Chelsea at the Premier League on December 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
3
Dec 3, 8:15PM Elland Road
Leeds
Dec 3, 8:15PM Elland Road
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeedsLU
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
J. Bijol (6')
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A. Tanaka (43')
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D. Calvert-Lewin (72')
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P. Neto (50')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces G. Gudmundsson
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Justin replaces J. Bogle
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Guiu replaces Andrey Santos
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin
1-3
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces L. Nmecha
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: I. Gruev replaces A. Tanaka
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces J. Gittens
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Palmer replaces L. Delap
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Neto, assisted by J. Gittens
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: P. Neto replaces Estevao
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces B. Badiashile
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by A. Tanaka, assisted by J. Bogle
0-2
39'
Yellow Card
Estevao (Chelsea) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
A. Stach (Leeds) cautioned
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by J. Bijol, assisted by A. Stach
0-1

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Leeds vs. Chelsea: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Leeds vs. Chelsea prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +310, Chelsea -102, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-113)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Leeds: 25.9%
  • Chelsea: 49.8%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Leeds 1-1 Chelsea, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Leeds is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.9% probability, while Chelsea sits at 49.8%, with the draw at 24.3%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Leeds vs. Chelsea prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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