Leeds vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Chelsea Premier League match on December 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Chelsea
1
3
Elland Road
Leeds
Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
J. Bijol (6')
Soccer ball icon
A. Tanaka (43')
Soccer ball icon
D. Calvert-Lewin (72')
Soccer ball icon
P. Neto (50')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces G. Gudmundsson
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Justin replaces J. Bogle
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: M. Guiu replaces Andrey Santos
  5. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin
    1-3
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces L. Nmecha
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: I. Gruev replaces A. Tanaka
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces J. Gittens
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: C. Palmer replaces L. Delap
  10. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Neto, assisted by J. Gittens
    1-2
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: P. Neto replaces Estevao
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces B. Badiashile
  13. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by A. Tanaka, assisted by J. Bogle
    0-2
  14. 39'
    Yellow Card
    Estevao (Chelsea) cautioned
  15. 35'
    Yellow Card
    A. Stach (Leeds) cautioned
  16. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by J. Bijol, assisted by A. Stach
    0-1

Leeds vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +310, Chelsea -102, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-113)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 25.9%
  • Chelsea: 49.8%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Chelsea (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Leeds vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.8%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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