Leeds vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Chelsea Premier League match on December 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
3
Dec 3, 3:15 PM ET Elland Road
Leeds
Dec 3, 3:15 PM ET Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
J. Bijol (6')
Soccer ball icon
A. Tanaka (43')
Soccer ball icon
D. Calvert-Lewin (72')
Soccer ball icon
P. Neto (50')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Bornauw replaces G. Gudmundsson
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Justin replaces J. Bogle
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Guiu replaces Andrey Santos
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin
1-3
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces L. Nmecha
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: I. Gruev replaces A. Tanaka
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces J. Gittens
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Palmer replaces L. Delap
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by P. Neto, assisted by J. Gittens
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: P. Neto replaces Estevao
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces B. Badiashile
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by A. Tanaka, assisted by J. Bogle
0-2
39'
Yellow Card
Estevao (Chelsea) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
A. Stach (Leeds) cautioned
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leeds by J. Bijol, assisted by A. Stach
0-1

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Leeds vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +310, Chelsea -102, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-113)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 25.9%
  • Chelsea: 49.8%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Chelsea (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.8%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Leeds vs. Chelsea, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.