Burnley vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Crystal Palace Premier League match on December 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Crystal Palace
1
0
Turf Moor
Burnley
Turf Moor
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
Crystal PalacePAL
D. Munoz (44')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Burnley
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Crystal Palace
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Canvot replaces D. Kamada
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces J. Cullen
  3. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: W. Hughes replaces A. Wharton
  4. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Ugochukwu replaces Florentino
  5. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: E. Nketiah replaces J. Mateta
  6. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Devenny replaces Y. Pino
  7. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces Z. Flemming
  8. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: M. Edwards replaces J. Anthony
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Tchaouna
  10. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Crystal Palace by D. Munoz, assisted by M. Guehi
    1-0

Burnley vs. Crystal Palace: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Crystal Palace
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +410, Crystal Palace -135, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-139)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Burnley: 21.7%
  • Crystal Palace: 54.6%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 1-1 Crystal Palace (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Burnley vs. Crystal Palace? Prediction & correct score

Crystal Palace is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.6%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 1-1 Crystal Palace.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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