Brighton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on December 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
4
3
Dec 3, 2:30 PM ET Amex Stadium
Brighton
Dec 3, 2:30 PM ET Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
J. P. van Hecke (9')
Soccer ball icon
P. Torres (o.g.) (29')
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J. P. van Hecke (83')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (37')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (45')
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A. Onana (60')
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D. Malen (78')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Aston Villa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces O. Watkins
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces E. Guessand
85'
Yellow Card
D. Gomez (Brighton) cautioned
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by J. P. van Hecke, assisted by J. Hinshelwood
4-3
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces C. Baleba
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Malen
4-2
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces J. McGinn
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: C. Kostoulas replaces B. Gruda
75'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces B. Kamara
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces I. Maatsen
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Welbeck replaces F. Kadioglu
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by A. Onana, assisted by M. Cash
3-2
45'
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Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by M. Rogers
2-2
45'
Yellow Card
B. Verbruggen (Brighton) cautioned
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by E. Guessand
1-2
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by P. Torres (o.g.)
0-2
24'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Hinshelwood replaces S. Tzimas
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by J. P. van Hecke, assisted by M. Wieffer
0-1

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Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +125, Aston Villa +245, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 44.3%
  • Aston Villa: 30.3%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 1-1 Aston Villa (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Brighton vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.3%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Brighton vs. Aston Villa, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.