Manchester City vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Leeds Premier League match on November 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
2
3
Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Etihad Stadium
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
LeedsLU
P. Foden (1')
Soccer ball icon
J. Gvardiol (25')
Soccer ball icon
P. Foden (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Calvert-Lewin (49')
Soccer ball icon
L. Nmecha (68')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by P. Foden, assisted by R. Cherki
    2-3
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: B. Aaronson replaces A. Tanaka
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: J. Stones replaces J. Doku
  4. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: O. Marmoush replaces B. Silva
  5. 87'
    Yellow Card
    G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces L. Nmecha
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: R. Cherki replaces T. Reijnders
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: G. Gudmundsson replaces J. Justin
  9. 68'
    Penalty missed by L. Nmecha for Leeds
  10. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by L. Nmecha
    2-2
  11. 66'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gvardiol (Manchester City) cautioned
  12. 58'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodon (Leeds) cautioned
  13. 57'
    Yellow Card
    B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned
  14. 55'
    Yellow Card
    M. Nunes (Manchester City) cautioned
  15. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin
    1-2
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: D. Calvert-Lewin replaces D. James
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Bijol replaces W. Gnonto
  18. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by J. Gvardiol, assisted by N. O'Reilly
    0-2
  19. 1'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by P. Foden, assisted by M. Nunes
    0-1

Manchester City vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Leeds
  • Date: Saturday, November 29, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -400, Leeds +1100, draw +575

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester City: 76.1%
  • Leeds: 8.5%
  • Draw: 15.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester City 2-0 Leeds (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Manchester City vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 76.1%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester City 2-0 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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