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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth at the Premier League on November 9, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Bournemouth
0
4
Nov 9, 2PM Villa Park
Aston Villa
Nov 9, 2PM Villa Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
E. Buendia (28')
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A. Onana (40')
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R. Barkley (77')
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D. Malen (82')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
AFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Guessand replaces M. Rogers
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Malen, assisted by Y. Tielemans
0-4
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces B. Kamara
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces O. Watkins
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by R. Barkley, assisted by L. Digne
0-3
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Brooks replaces Evanilson
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces E. Buendia
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces J. McGinn
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces A. Onana
67'
Penalty missed by A. Semenyo for Bournemouth
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Adli replaces A. Truffert
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: E. J. Kroupi replaces J. Kluivert
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: R. Christie replaces A. Scott
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: L. Cook replaces A. Jimenez
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by A. Onana
0-2
38'
Yellow Card
A. Truffert (Bournemouth) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by E. Buendia
0-1
27'
Yellow Card
A. Jimenez (Bournemouth) cautioned
23'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
10'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Jimenez replaces A. Smith

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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa +140, Bournemouth +210, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 45.4%
  • Bournemouth: 30.3%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 45.4% probability, while Bournemouth sits at 30.3%, with the draw at 24.3%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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