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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Premier League game on November 9, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Bournemouth
0
4
Nov 9, 2PM Villa Park
Aston Villa
Nov 9, 2PM Villa Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
E. Buendia (28')
A. Onana (40')
R. Barkley (77')
D. Malen (82')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
AFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Guessand replaces M. Rogers
82'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Malen, assisted by Y. Tielemans
0-4
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces B. Kamara
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces O. Watkins
77'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by R. Barkley, assisted by L. Digne
0-3
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Brooks replaces Evanilson
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces E. Buendia
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces J. McGinn
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces A. Onana
67'
Penalty missed by A. Semenyo for Bournemouth
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Adli replaces A. Truffert
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: E. J. Kroupi replaces J. Kluivert
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: R. Christie replaces A. Scott
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: L. Cook replaces A. Jimenez
40'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by A. Onana
0-2
38'
Yellow Card
A. Truffert (Bournemouth) cautioned
28'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by E. Buendia
0-1
27'
Yellow Card
A. Jimenez (Bournemouth) cautioned
23'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
13'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
10'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Jimenez replaces A. Smith

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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Sunday, November 9, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +140, Bournemouth +210, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 45.4%
  • Bournemouth: 30.3%
  • Draw: 24.3%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 45.4%, while Bournemouth has a win probability of 30.3%. The chance of a draw is 24.3%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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