CFB- Predictions
Missouri State vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Missouri State vs. Arkansas State NCAAF game on December 18, 2025. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Game Prediction Article
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Matchup Overview
- Teams: Missouri State vs. Arkansas State
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ford Center at The Star
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Arkansas State favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 56.5
- Moneyline Odds: Missouri State +100, Arkansas State -110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Missouri State: 45%
- Arkansas State: 55%
Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Missouri State 28-29 Arkansas State.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Missouri State a win probability of 45%, while Arkansas State has a win probability of 55%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Arkansas State is more likely to beat Missouri State in CFB action at Ford Center at The Star on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Missouri State vs. Arkansas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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