Missouri State vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Missouri State vs. Arkansas State NCAAF game on December 18, 2025. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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Missouri State
28
34
Dec 18, 9:00 PM ET Ford Center at The Star
Arkansas State
Dec 18, 9:00 PM ET Ford Center at The Star
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Missouri State
    0%
  • Arkansas State
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Missouri State
7 0 0 21 28
Arkansas State
14 10 7 3 34
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Arkansas State
Missouri State
4th and 14 at the MOSU 50
Last Play
J.Raynor kneels at the MOSU 50.

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Missouri State vs. Arkansas State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Missouri State vs. Arkansas State
  • Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ford Center at The Star

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Arkansas State favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 55.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Missouri State +108, Arkansas State -116

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Missouri State: 45%
  • Arkansas State: 55%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Missouri State 27-29 Arkansas State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Missouri State a win probability of 45%, while Arkansas State has a win probability of 55%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Arkansas State is more likely to beat Missouri State in CFB action at Ford Center at The Star on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Missouri State vs. Arkansas State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert college football predictions and the best college football bets today for more insights and betting opportunities.

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