Arkansas vs. Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds
Spread
- Arkansas
- Virginia
Arkansas vs. Virginia prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Sunday
- Teams: Arkansas vs. Virginia
- Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
- Tip-off: 1:00PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current betting odds
- Spread: Arkansas (+3, -110), Virginia (-3, -110)
- Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points (-110/-110)
- Moneyline: Arkansas +130, Virginia -152
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Arkansas: 41.9%
- Virginia: 58.1%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Arkansas 77 and Virginia 79.
This is a margin of 2 points against a spread of 3, and a projected total of 156 points against a market line of 161.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives Arkansas a win probability of 41.9%, while Virginia has a win probability of 58.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Virginia is more likely to beat Arkansas in the men's college basketball game at Capital One Arena on Sunday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Arkansas vs. Virginia predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.