Germany vs. United States International Friendly

Dimers' Germany vs. United States prediction for the pre-World Cup friendly match on June 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
World Cup
FINAL
SWC sport icon
WORLD CUP
Germany
2
1
Soldier Field
United States
Soldier Field
United StatesUSA
Score Summary
GermanyGER
A. Robinson (37')
Soccer ball icon
K. Havertz (2')
Soccer ball icon
L. Sane (57')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • United States
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Germany
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Beier (Germany) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Weah (USA) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Schlotterbeck (Germany) cautioned
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: A. Stiller replaces A. Pavlovic
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: N. Amiri replaces J. Musiala
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: L. Goretzka replaces F. Nmecha
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: M. Beier replaces F. Wirtz
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: M. Arfsten replaces T. Ream
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: T. Weah replaces S. Dest
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: R. Pepi replaces F. Balogun
  11. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: J. Scally replaces A. Freeman
  12. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: B. Aaronson replaces M. Tillman
  13. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: C. Roldan replaces T. Adams
  14. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: J. Leweling replaces L. Sane
  15. 69'
    Yellow Card
    D. Raum (Germany) cautioned
  16. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: A. Trusty replaces A. Robinson
  17. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: G. Reyna replaces C. Pulisic
  18. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: M. McKenzie replaces M. Robinson
  19. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for USA: S. Berhalter replaces W. McKennie
  20. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: D. Raum replaces N. Brown
  21. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: D. Undav replaces K. Havertz
  22. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: W. Anton replaces J. Kimmich
  23. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Germany by L. Sane, assisted by K. Havertz
    2-1
  24. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for USA by A. Robinson
    1-1
  25. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Germany by K. Havertz, assisted by J. Kimmich
    1-0

Germany vs. United States: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Germany vs. United States prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Germany vs. United States
  • Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Germany -169, United States +400, draw +320

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Germany: 58.0%
  • United States: 20.9%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Germany 2-1 United States (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Germany vs. United States? Prediction & correct score

Germany is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.0%.

The most likely correct score is Germany 2-1 United States.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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