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Sweden vs. Ukraine Prediction, Picks & Odds
Dimers' Sweden vs. Ukraine prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
FINAL
World Cup
FINAL
WORLD CUP
Sweden
3
1
Mar 26, 3:45 PM ET Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)
Ukraine
Mar 26, 3:45 PM ET Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)
Score Summary
M. Ponomarenko (90')
V. Gyokeres (6')
V. Gyokeres (51')
V. Gyokeres (pen.) (73')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Ukraine
- Sweden
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Ukraine by M. Ponomarenko
3-1
Substitution for Sweden: M. Svanberg replaces A. Elanga
Substitution for Ukraine: M. Shaparenko replaces Y. Yarmolyuk
Substitution for Ukraine: M. Ponomarenko replaces G. Sudakov
Substitution for Sweden: D. Svensson replaces G. Gudmundsson
Substitution for Sweden: L. Bergvall replaces Y. Ayari
K. Nordfeldt (Sweden) cautioned
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres (pen.)
3-0
A. Trubin (Ukraine) cautioned
Substitution for Ukraine: R. Yaremchuk replaces V. Vanat
Substitution for Ukraine: O. Ocheretko replaces O. Zubkov
Substitution for Ukraine: O. Gutsulyak replaces I. Kaliuzhnyi
O. Tymchyk (Ukraine) cautioned
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres, assisted by K. Nordfeldt
2-0
Substitution for Sweden: C. Starfelt replaces I. Hien
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres, assisted by B. Nygren
1-0
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Sweden vs. Ukraine: Match prediction & analysis
Dimers' Sweden vs. Ukraine prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.
Match overview
- Teams: Sweden vs. Ukraine
- Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Time: 3:45 PM ET
- Venue: Estadi Ciutat de València
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sweden +140, Ukraine +220, draw +225
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-134)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Sweden: 40.3%
- Ukraine: 34.2%
- Draw: 25.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Sweden 1-1 Ukraine (12.1%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Who will win Sweden vs. Ukraine? Prediction & correct score
Sweden is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.3%.
The most likely correct score is Sweden 1-1 Ukraine.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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