Poland vs. Sweden Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Poland vs. Sweden prediction for the World Cup qualifying play-off match on March 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
FINAL
World Cup
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
SWC sport icon
WORLD CUP
Poland
2
3
Mar 31, 2:45 PM ET Strawberry Arena
Sweden
Mar 31, 2:45 PM ET Strawberry Arena
SwedenSWE
Score Summary
PolandPOL
A. Elanga (19')
Soccer ball icon
G. Lagerbielke (44')
Soccer ball icon
V. Gyokeres (88')
Soccer ball icon
N. Zalewski (33')
Soccer ball icon
K. Swiderski (55')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sweden
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Poland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: K. Grosicki replaces M. Cash
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: M. Svanberg replaces Y. Ayari
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: K. Piatek replaces N. Zalewski
90'
Yellow Card
K. Piatek (Poland) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by V. Gyokeres
2-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: G. Lundgren replaces B. Nygren
76'
Yellow Card
L. Bergvall (Sweden) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: B. Zeneli replaces J. Karlstrom
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sweden: L. Bergvall replaces A. Elanga
65'
Yellow Card
O. Pietuszewski (Poland) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Poland: O. Pietuszewski replaces K. Swiderski
62'
Yellow Card
J. Karlstrom (Sweden) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Poland by K. Swiderski, assisted by N. Zalewski
2-2
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by G. Lagerbielke, assisted by B. Nygren
1-2
43'
Yellow Card
J. Kiwior (Poland) cautioned
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Poland by N. Zalewski, assisted by P. Zielinski
1-1
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sweden by A. Elanga, assisted by Y. Ayari
0-1

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $10, Get a $20 Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW
Trade $10, Get $20 with Code DIMERS
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Code DIMERS: Trade $10, Get $10
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Poland vs. Sweden: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Poland vs. Sweden prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Poland vs. Sweden
  • Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Strawberry Arena
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup qualifying play-offs

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Poland +300, Sweden +105, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+126/-150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Poland: 25.7%
  • Sweden: 49.5%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Poland 1-1 Sweden (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Poland vs. Sweden? Prediction & correct score

Sweden is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.5%.

The most likely correct score is Poland 1-1 Sweden.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Poland vs. Sweden, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.