Finland vs. Germany International Friendly

Dimers' Finland vs. Germany prediction for the pre-World Cup friendly match on May 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
World Cup
FINAL
SWC sport icon
WORLD CUP
Finland
0
4
Mewa Arena
Germany
Mewa Arena
GermanyGER
Score Summary
FinlandFIN
D. Undav (34')
Soccer ball icon
F. Wirtz (48')
Soccer ball icon
D. Undav (57')
Soccer ball icon
J. Musiala (63')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Germany
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Finland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: N. Amiri replaces F. Nmecha
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Finland: N. Skytta replaces R. Mahuta
  3. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Finland: M. Tenho replaces L. Walta
  4. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Finland: S. Miettinen replaces N. Alho
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: N. Woltemade replaces F. Wirtz
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: L. Sane replaces L. Karl
  7. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Germany by J. Musiala, assisted by A. Pavlovic
    0-4
  8. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Germany: M. Beier replaces D. Undav
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Finland: O. Antman replaces R. Lod
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Finland: D. Hakans replaces T. Keskinen
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Finland: J. Pohjanpalo replaces B. Kallman
  12. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Germany by D. Undav, assisted by L. Karl
    0-3
  13. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Germany by F. Wirtz, assisted by D. Undav
    0-2
  14. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Germany by D. Undav, assisted by J. Kimmich
    0-1

Finland vs. Germany: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Finland vs. Germany prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Finland vs. Germany
  • Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Mewa Arena

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Finland +1600, Germany -769, draw +800

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Finland: 5.7%
  • Germany: 83.3%
  • Draw: 11.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Finland 0-3 Germany (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Finland vs. Germany? Prediction & correct score

Germany is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 83.3%.

The most likely correct score is Finland 0-3 Germany.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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