Ireland vs. Canada International Friendly

Dimers' Ireland vs. Canada prediction for the pre-World Cup friendly match on June 5, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
World Cup
FINAL
SWC sport icon
WORLD CUP
Ireland
1
:
1
Saputo Stadium
Canada
Saputo Stadium
CanadaCAN
Score Summary
IrelandIRL
J. O'Brien (o.g.) (23')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ogbene (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canada
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Ireland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ireland: A. Brennan replaces C. Ogbene
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ireland: J. Hodge replaces C. Coventry
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ireland: K. Leavy replaces T. Parrott
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: T. Oluwaseyi replaces T. Buchanan
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: J. Nelson replaces L. Millar
  6. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: N. Saliba replaces S. Eustaquio
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: P. David replaces C. Larin
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ireland: M. Melia replaces J. Umeh
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ireland: K. Phillips replaces S. Coleman
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marsch (Canada) cautioned
  11. 64'
    Yellow Card
    J. McGrath (Ireland) cautioned
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: Z. Bassong replaces R. Laryea
  13. 60'
    Penalty missed by T. Parrott for Ireland
  14. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ireland by C. Ogbene
    1-1
  15. 57'
    Yellow Card
    C. Larin (Canada) cautioned
  16. 47'
    Yellow Card
    D. Cornelius (Canada) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ireland: L. Scales replaces C. Ndaba
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Canada: N. Sigur replaces A. Johnston
  19. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ireland: J. McGrath replaces D. Devoy
  20. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Canada by J. O'Brien (o.g.)
    0-1

Ireland vs. Canada: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Ireland vs. Canada prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Ireland vs. Canada
  • Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Ireland +600, Canada -189, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Ireland: 16.0%
  • Canada: 59.9%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Ireland 0-1 Canada (15.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Ireland vs. Canada? Prediction & correct score

Canada is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.9%.

The most likely correct score is Ireland 0-1 Canada.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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