US Open bets today: Seven picks for Wednesday ft. Sakamoto vs. Tiafoe [9/2/2026]

US Open Men Singles 2026: Frances Tiafoe vs. Rei Sakamoto Under 37.5 total games (-109)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Matchup: Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 37.5 total games in Frances Tiafoe vs. Rei Sakamoto at -109 odds in their matchup at US Open Men Singles 2026. A 59.8% probability produces an edge of 7.7%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Frances Tiafoe -5.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe (7:00PM ET)

At US Open Men Singles 2026, Frances Tiafoe -5.5 carries a 7.7% edge and a probability of 59% at -105 odds, according to our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 (-125)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Matchup: Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz (8:10PM ET)

Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 vs. Jaime Faria at -125 odds shows a 4.1% edge, supported by a 59.7% probability in simulations of the US Open Men Singles 2026 match.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Lloyd Harris under 39.5 total games (-105)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (5:00PM ET)

A 3.8% edge and 55% probability make Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Lloyd Harris under 39.5 total games a value play in the Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas matchup, per our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria Under 32.5 total games (-105)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz (8:10PM ET)

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria Under 32.5 total games at -105 odds presents a 3.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55%.

US Open Women Singles 2026: Maya Joint vs. Elina Svitolina Over 18.5 total games (-125)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Matchup: Elina Svitolina vs. Maya Joint (6:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 18.5 total games in Elina Svitolina vs. Maya Joint at -125 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 3.3%.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Kamil Majchrzak vs. Valentin Vacherot Under 39.5 total games (-109)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak (5:50PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak Under 39.5 total games at -109 odds. A 55% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

US Open best bets summary: Wednesday, 9/2/2026

As of 4:34PM ET, here are our top US Open bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming US Open matches to bet on now

• US Open Women Singles: Anna Kalinskaya vs. Xinyu Wang (4:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Donna Vekic vs. Ann Li (4:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Lloyd Harris (5:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Tommy Paul vs. Dino Prizmic (5:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Adrian Mannarino vs. Alexander Bublik (5:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Kimberly Birrell (5:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Kamil Majchrzak vs. Valentin Vacherot (5:50PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Women Singles: Maya Joint vs. Elina Svitolina (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Frances Tiafoe vs. Rei Sakamoto (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• US Open Men Singles: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria (8:10PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our US Open best bets are locked and loaded for September 2, 2026, featuring plays such as under 37.5 total games in the Rei Sakamoto vs. Rei Sakamoto matchup and Frances Tiafoe -5.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.