US Open bets today: 10 picks for Monday ft. Berrettini vs. Wawrinka [8/31/2026]

US Open Men Singles 2026: Stan Wawrinka vs. Matteo Berrettini Under 40.5 total games (-125)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Matchup: Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka (2:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 40.5 total games in Stan Wawrinka vs. Matteo Berrettini at -125 odds in their matchup at US Open Men Singles 2026. A 66.5% probability produces an edge of 10.9%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Matteo Berrettini -4.5 (-135)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 68%
• Matchup: Matteo Berrettini vs. Stan Wawrinka (2:00PM ET)

At US Open Men Singles 2026, Matteo Berrettini -4.5 carries a 10.6% edge and a probability of 68% at -135 odds, according to our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Jurij Rodionov Under 43.5 total games (-135)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Matchup: Jurij Rodionov vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (12:45PM ET)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Jurij Rodionov Under 43.5 total games at -135 odds shows a 9.4% edge, supported by a 66.8% probability in simulations of the US Open Men Singles 2026 match.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Frances Tiafoe vs. Martin Damm under 40.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Matchup: Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe (8:10PM ET)

A 9.2% edge and 65.7% probability make Frances Tiafoe vs. Martin Damm under 40.5 total games a value play in the Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe matchup, per our model.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Valentin Vacherot Under 41.5 total games (-115)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 62.3%
• Matchup: Valentin Vacherot vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (11:00AM ET)

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Valentin Vacherot Under 41.5 total games at -115 odds presents a 8.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 62.3%.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Hubert Hurkacz -7.5 (+105)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Damir Dzumhur vs. Hubert Hurkacz (1:50PM ET)

Our model finds value on Hubert Hurkacz -7.5 at +105 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 6.8%.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Damir Dzumhur Under 34.5 total games (-125)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Matchup: Damir Dzumhur vs. Hubert Hurkacz (1:50PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Damir Dzumhur vs. Hubert Hurkacz Under 34.5 total games at -125 odds. A 62.2% probability produces a 6.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Andrey Rublev vs. Marin Cilic Under 40.5 total games (-140)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 64.7%
• Matchup: Marin Cilic vs. Andrey Rublev (11:00AM ET)

A 6.3% edge on a 64.7% probability makes Under 40.5 total games at -140 odds a solid value play in this US Open Men Singles 2026 matchup.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Ben Shelton -5.5 (+100)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Ben Shelton vs. Tallon Griekspoor (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Ben Shelton -5.5 at +100 odds. A 55.5% probability produces a 5.5% edge, making Ben Shelton the favorable side in today's US Open Men Singles 2026 matchup.

US Open Men Singles 2026: Karen Khachanov -5.5 (-120)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Matchup: Roman Burruchaga vs. Karen Khachanov (3:50PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Karen Khachanov -5.5 at -120 odds shows a 59.9% probability and a 5.4% edge.

US Open best bets summary: Monday, 8/31/2026

As of 4:27AM ET, here are our top US Open bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming US Open matches to bet on now

• US Open Men Singles: Arthur Fils vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Men Singles: Andrey Rublev vs. Marin Cilic (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Women Singles: Marie Bouzkova vs. Elsa Jacquemot (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Women Singles: Cristina Bucsa vs. Sara Bejlek (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Women Singles: Tamara Korpatsch vs. Lilli Tagger (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Women Singles: Karolina Muchova vs. Sinja Kraus (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Women Singles: Panna Udvardy vs. Mananchaya Sawangkaew (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Men Singles: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Valentin Vacherot (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Women Singles: Himeno Sakatsume vs. Anhelina Kalinina (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• US Open Women Singles: Peyton Stearns vs. Harriet Dart (11:00AM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our US Open best bets are locked and loaded for August 31, 2026, featuring plays such as under 40.5 total games in the Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Berrettini matchup and Matteo Berrettini -4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.