Tennis bets today: 10 picks for Thursday ft. Herbert vs. Fritz [10/22/2026]

ATP Lyon Open: Taylor Fritz vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert Under 22.5 total games (-115)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 62%
• Matchup: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs. Taylor Fritz (9:10AM ET)

Our model has identified value on Under 22.5 total games in Taylor Fritz vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert at -115 odds in their matchup at ATP Lyon Open. A 62% probability produces an edge of 8.5%, making this the strongest play for today's tennis slate.

ATP Lyon Open: Taylor Fritz -3.5 (-150)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 65%
• Matchup: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs. Taylor Fritz (9:10AM ET)

At ATP Lyon Open, Taylor Fritz -3.5 carries a 5.0% edge and a probability of 65% at -150 odds, according to our model.

ATP Almaty Open: Fabian Marozsan vs. Alexander Bublik Under 23.5 total games (-140)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 63%
• Matchup: Alexander Bublik vs. Fabian Marozsan (10:30AM ET)

Fabian Marozsan vs. Alexander Bublik Under 23.5 total games at -140 odds shows a 4.7% edge, supported by a 63% probability in simulations of the ATP Almaty Open match.

ATP European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs. Raphael Collignon under 22.5 total games (-111)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Raphael Collignon vs. Jiri Lehecka (7:30AM ET)

A 3.6% edge and 56.2% probability make Jiri Lehecka vs. Raphael Collignon under 22.5 total games a value play in the Raphael Collignon vs. Jiri Lehecka matchup, per our model.

WTA Ningbo Open: Polina Kudermetova +5.5 (-125)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 58.9%
• Matchup: Elena Rybakina vs. Polina Kudermetova (7:00AM ET)

Polina Kudermetova +5.5 at -125 presents a 3.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.9%.

ATP Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli -2.5 (-145)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Matchup: Flavio Cobolli vs. Stan Wawrinka (1:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Flavio Cobolli -2.5 at -145 at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 3.2%.

WTA Japan Open: Talia Gibson ML (+144)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 44%
• Matchup: Talia Gibson vs. Ashlyn Krueger (10:30PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Ashlyn Krueger-Talia Gibson to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +144. A 44% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WTA Japan Open tennis action.

ATP Almaty Open: Alexander Bublik ML (-294)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 77.2%
• Matchup: Alexander Bublik vs. Fabian Marozsan (10:30AM ET)

A 2.6% edge on a 77.2% probability makes Alexander Bublik to win at -294a solid value play in this ATP Almaty Open matchup.

ATP European Open: Jaume Munar vs. Arthur FilsUnder 22.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 59%
• Matchup: Arthur Fils vs. Jaume Munar (5:30AM ET)

Our model projects value on Under 22.5 total games at -130. A 59% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's ATP European Open matchup.

ATP European Open: Jiri Lehecka -3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Raphael Collignon vs. Jiri Lehecka (7:30AM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Jiri Lehecka -3.5 at -110 shows a 54.8% probability and a 2.4% edge.

Tennis best bets summary: Thursday, 10/22/2026

As of 3:39AM ET, here are our top tennis bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming tennis matches to bet on now

• WTA Ningbo: Diana Shnaider vs. Alexandra Eala (3:50AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Almaty: Sho Shimabukuro vs. Daniil Medvedev (5:10AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Brussels: Jaume Munar vs. Arthur Fils (5:30AM ET, Thursday)
• WTA Ningbo: Polina Kudermetova vs. Elena Rybakina (7:00AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Lyon: Daniel Altmaier vs. Borna Gojo (7:20AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Brussels: Jiri Lehecka vs. Raphael Collignon (7:30AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Lyon: Luca Van Assche vs. Valentin Vacherot (8:00AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Brussels: Alex Michelsen vs. David Goffin (8:40AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Lyon: Taylor Fritz vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert (9:10AM ET, Thursday)
• ATP Almaty: Fabian Marozsan vs. Alexander Bublik (10:30AM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our tennis best bets are locked and loaded for October 22, 2026, featuring plays such as under 22.5 total games in the Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert matchup and Taylor Fritz -3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.