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Read Article Paula Badosa vs. Coco Gauff prediction, odds, picks for German Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Badosa vs Gauff predictions for German Open.
Paula Badosa and Coco Gauff will lock horns in the round of 16 at Berlin on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Coco Gauff as the most likely winner of the Badosa vs. Gauff match.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Badosa vs. Gauff prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Badosa-Gauff women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Gauff a 73% chance of defeating Badosa at Berlin.
Additionally, Gauff has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +4.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Paula Badosa vs. Coco Gauff odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Badosa | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +260 | -314 |
| First Set | +200 | -250 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-126) | -4.5 (-108) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-115) | u21.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Badosa vs. Gauff picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Badosa | +260 |
| First Set | Gauff | -125 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Paula Badosa to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Badosa vs. Gauff updates and essential details
The German Open match between Paula Badosa and Coco Gauff is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 9:30 AM ET.
- Who: Paula Badosa vs. Coco Gauff
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:30 AM ET/6:30AM PT
- Tournament: Berlin, Germany Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Coco Gauff, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Paula Badosa at Berlin.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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