Karen Khachanov vs. Carlos Alcaraz prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's Khachanov-Alcaraz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Alcaraz an 80% chance of defeating Khachanov at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Carlos Alcaraz -465, Karen Khachanov +410

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Khachanov @ +410 via DraftKings
• First Set: Alcaraz @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to start on Monday at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Monday, October 26, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Karen Khachanov at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.