Jessica Pegula vs. Sofia Kenin prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin will lock horns in the second round of the US Open 2026 on Wednesday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner in this Pegula vs. Kenin prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pegula vs. Kenin prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Pegula-Kenin women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Pegula a 91% chance of beating Kenin in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Sofia Kenin +980, Jessica Pegula -1786

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kenin @ +980 via DraftKings
• First Set: Kenin @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 18.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 11:30 AM ET.

• Who: Jessica Pegula vs. Sofia Kenin
• Date: Wednesday, September 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jessica Pegula, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat Sofia Kenin at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.