Iga Swiatek vs. Qinwen Zheng prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Swiatek-Zheng women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Swiatek an 80% chance of defeating Zheng in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Swiatek has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Swiatek (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 20.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Qinwen Zheng +340, Iga Swiatek -429
• First Set: Swiatek -333, Zheng +250

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Swiatek @ -429 via DraftKings
• First Set: Zheng @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Iga Swiatek to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng is scheduled to commence on Monday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Iga Swiatek vs. Qinwen Zheng
• Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Iga Swiatek, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Qinwen Zheng at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.