Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Tiafoe-Michelsen men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Tiafoe a 57% chance of beating Michelsen in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Tiafoe has a 56% chance of winning the first set, while the under 40.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alex Michelsen +134, Frances Tiafoe -149
• First Set: Tiafoe -139, Michelsen +110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Michelsen @ +134 via DraftKings
• First Set: Michelsen @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alex Michelsen to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 11:30 AM ET.

• Who: Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex Michelsen
• Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Frances Tiafoe, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Alex Michelsen at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.