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Read Article Corentin Moutet vs. Tommy Paul prediction, odds, picks for ATP Lyon Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Moutet vs Paul predictions for ATP Lyon Open.
Corentin Moutet and Tommy Paul will lock horns in the quarterfinals of the ATP Lyon Open event on Friday.
Dimers' proven tennis model projects Tommy Paul as the most likely winner in this Moutet vs. Paul prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Moutet vs. Paul prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Moutet-Paul men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Paul a 76% chance of beating Moutet at the ATP Lyon Open tournament. Additionally, Paul has a 71% chance of winning the first set, while the under 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Tommy Paul -388, Corentin Moutet +320
- First Set: Moutet +250, Paul -333
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Moutet @ +320 via DraftKings
- First Set: Paul @ -120 via DraftKings
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The ATP Lyon Open match between Corentin Moutet and Tommy Paul is scheduled to begin on Friday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Corentin Moutet vs. Tommy Paul
- Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00 AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Lyon, France Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Tommy Paul, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Corentin Moutet at the ATP Lyon Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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