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Read Article Andrey Rublev vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for ATP Swedish Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Rublev vs Baez predictions for ATP Swedish Open.
Andrey Rublev will take on Sebastian Baez in the quarterfinals at the ATP Bastad event on Friday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Andrey Rublev as the most likely winner of the Rublev vs. Baez match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Rublev vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Rublev-Baez men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Rublev a 59% chance of winning against Baez at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Andrey Rublev vs. Sebastian Baez odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rublev | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -178 | +150 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-118) | +2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-112) | u22.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rublev vs. Baez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baez | +150 |
| First Set | Baez | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Sebastian Baez to win.
Although Baez is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rublev vs. Baez updates and essential details
The ATP Swedish Open match between Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to start on Friday at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Andrey Rublev vs. Sebastian Baez
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Bastad, Sweden Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Andrey Rublev, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Baez at the ATP Swedish Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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