Capitals vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Islanders NHL game on November 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
4
1
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 1 2 4
Islanders
0 0 1 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    100%
  • Islanders
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Capitals
1 1 2 4
Islanders
0 0 1 1
P3 19:28 Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
P3 18:49 Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Tom Wilson and Matt Roy
P3 18:48 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 18:43 Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 16:56 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:03 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 13:41 Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
P3 13:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:18 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 10:02 Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 07:30 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
P3 06:20 Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 05:31 Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:26 Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:13 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 04:54 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 03:43 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 03:16 Shot missed by Travis Mitchell
P3 02:26 Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:29
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
    4-1
  4. P3 18:49
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas assisted by Tom Wilson and Matt Roy
    3-1
  6. P3 18:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  7. P3 18:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  8. P3 18:28
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  9. P3 18:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P3 18:08
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  11. P3 18:08
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  12. P3 17:58
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  13. P3 17:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 17:22
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  15. P3 17:22
    Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
  16. P3 17:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  17. P3 16:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Logan Thompson
  18. P3 16:22
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  19. P3 16:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  20. P3 15:47
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  21. P3 15:47
    Stoppage - Icing
  22. P3 14:57
    Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  23. P3 14:18
    Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
  24. P3 14:05
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  25. P3 14:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  26. P3 14:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  27. P3 13:43
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  28. P3 13:41
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Bo Horvat
    2-1
  29. P3 13:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
  30. P3 13:29
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  31. P3 13:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 13:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
  33. P3 12:24
    Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  34. P3 12:24
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  35. P3 12:24
    Penalty to Anthony Beauvillier 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Tony DeAngelo)
  36. P3 11:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
  37. P3 10:57
    Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
  38. P3 10:02
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
  39. P3 10:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  40. P3 10:02
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  41. P3 07:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
  42. P3 06:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Ilya Sorokin
  43. P3 05:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
  44. P3 05:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Logan Thompson
  45. P3 05:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ilya Sorokin
  46. P3 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  47. P3 03:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  48. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Mitchell
  49. P3 02:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  50. P3 01:34
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  51. P3 01:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Ilya Sorokin
  52. P3 01:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  53. P3 00:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  54. P3 00:55
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  55. P3 00:38
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  56. P3 00:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  57. P3 00:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
  58. P3 00:00
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  59. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  60. P2 19:58
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  61. P2 19:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  62. P2 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Logan Thompson
  63. P2 18:42
    Takeaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  64. P2 18:39
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by John Carlson
  65. P2 18:18
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  66. P2 18:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  67. P2 18:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
  68. P2 18:11
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  69. P2 18:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  70. P2 18:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Logan Thompson
  71. P2 17:42
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  72. P2 17:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 17:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Logan Thompson
  74. P2 17:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  75. P2 16:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Ilya Sorokin
  76. P2 15:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Ilya Sorokin
  77. P2 15:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  78. P2 14:43
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Connor McMichael
  79. P2 14:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  80. P2 13:58
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  81. P2 13:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tom Wilson
    2-0
  82. P2 13:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  83. P2 13:42
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  84. P2 13:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 13:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Ilya Sorokin
  86. P2 13:33
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
  87. P2 13:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  88. P2 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Logan Thompson
  89. P2 12:36
    Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  90. P2 12:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  91. P2 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
  92. P2 12:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Carlson
  93. P2 12:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Logan Thompson
  94. P2 12:01
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  95. P2 12:00
    Giveaway by Emil Heineman in defensive zone
  96. P2 11:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Ilya Sorokin
  97. P2 11:52
    Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  98. P2 11:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  99. P2 11:33
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  100. P2 11:33
    Stoppage - Offside
  101. P2 11:25
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  102. P2 11:25
    Stoppage
  103. P2 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
  104. P2 11:12
    SHOT
    Jonathan Drouin shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  105. P2 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Logan Thompson
  106. P2 10:45
    Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  107. P2 10:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  108. P2 10:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Logan Thompson
  109. P2 10:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Ilya Sorokin
  110. P2 09:36
    Takeaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  111. P2 08:45
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by John Carlson
  112. P2 08:42
    SHOT
    Travis Mitchell shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  113. P2 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Logan Thompson
  114. P2 08:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Logan Thompson
  115. P2 07:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  116. P2 07:25
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  117. P2 06:43
    Giveaway by Maxim Tsyplakov in offensive zone
  118. P2 06:27
    Giveaway by Logan Thompson in defensive zone
  119. P2 05:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  120. P2 05:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Logan Thompson
  121. P2 05:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
  122. P2 04:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
  123. P2 04:02
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  124. P2 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Logan Thompson
  125. P2 03:47
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  126. P2 03:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  127. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Matt Roy
  128. P2 01:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
  129. P2 01:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Max Shabanov shot blocked by teammate
  130. P2 01:22
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
  131. P2 01:22
    Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Bo Horvat)
  132. P2 00:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  133. P2 00:48
    Giveaway by Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  134. P2 00:42
    Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in offensive zone
  135. P2 00:00
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  136. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  137. P1 19:16
    Takeaway by Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
  138. P1 19:09
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  139. P1 19:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  140. P1 19:00
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  141. P1 19:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  142. P1 18:08
    SHOT
    Connor McMichael shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  143. P1 17:48
    Giveaway by Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
  144. P1 17:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  145. P1 16:51
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  146. P1 16:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P1 16:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  148. P1 15:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  149. P1 14:43
    SHOT
    Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  150. P1 14:39
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  151. P1 14:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  152. P1 14:12
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by teammate
  153. P1 13:14
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  154. P1 13:14
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  155. P1 13:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  156. P1 12:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  157. P1 12:26
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  158. P1 10:39
    Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  159. P1 10:36
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  160. P1 10:29
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Bo Horvat
  161. P1 10:05
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  162. P1 09:36
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  163. P1 09:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  164. P1 09:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
  165. P1 09:29
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by teammate
  166. P1 09:29
    Takeaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
  167. P1 09:25
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  168. P1 09:08
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  169. P1 09:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  170. P1 09:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  171. P1 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  172. P1 08:50
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  173. P1 08:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  174. P1 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Logan Thompson
  175. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  176. P1 07:37
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  177. P1 07:37
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Tom Wilson assisted by Alex Ovechkin
    1-0
  178. P1 07:25
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  179. P1 07:25
    Penalty to Matthew Schaefer 2 minutes for Tripping
  180. P1 07:20
    Giveaway by Anthony Duclair in defensive zone
  181. P1 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  182. P1 06:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Logan Thompson
  183. P1 06:54
    Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  184. P1 06:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  185. P1 06:47
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  186. P1 06:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  187. P1 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Logan Thompson
  188. P1 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  189. P1 05:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Sorokin
  190. P1 05:02
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  191. P1 05:02
    Stoppage - Offside
  192. P1 04:54
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  193. P1 04:09
    Giveaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  194. P1 03:45
    Giveaway by Tom Wilson in offensive zone
  195. P1 03:07
    Giveaway by Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  196. P1 02:31
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  197. P1 02:19
    Giveaway by Ethen Frank in offensive zone
  198. P1 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Logan Thompson
  199. P1 00:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Logan Thompson
  200. P1 00:30
    Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in defensive zone
  201. P1 00:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ilya Sorokin
  202. P1 00:18
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
  203. P1 00:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  204. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
  205. P1 00:14
    Travis Mitchell credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in defensive zone
  206. P1 00:10
    Giveaway by Ilya Sorokin in defensive zone
  207. P1 00:00
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  208. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Islanders
18Shots on Goal31
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits23
13 Shots Blocked 14
8Giveaways18
CapitalsWSH
IslandersNYI
18Shots on Goal31
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits23
13 Shots Blocked 14
8Giveaways18

Capitals vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Islanders
  • Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals -130, Islanders +115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 54%
  • Islanders: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 54%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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