Flames vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Red Wings NHL game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Flames
2
5
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123T
Flames
1 1 0 2
Red Wings
0 4 1 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flames
    0%
  • Red Wings
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flames
1 1 0 2
Red Wings
0 4 1 5
P3 18:55 Goal scored by Dominik Shine (Empty Net)
P3 18:45 Justin Faulk shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P3 18:42 Shot missed by Morgan Frost
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
P3 16:35 Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 15:28 Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 14:03 Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P3 12:46 Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 09:37 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 09:08 Shot missed by Patrick Kane
P3 08:55 Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:32 Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
P3 07:25 Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 06:32 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:57 Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 04:44 Matt Coronato shot blocked by John Leonard
P3 04:30 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 03:00 Albert Johansson shot blocked by Ryan Strome
P3 02:20 Morgan Frost shot blocked by Sheldon Dries
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:55
    Connor Zary won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dominik Shine (Empty Net)
    2-5
  4. P3 18:45
    SHOT
    Justin Faulk shot blocked by Morgan Frost
  5. P3 18:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Frost
  6. P3 17:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
  7. P3 16:51
    Joel Farabee credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
  8. P3 16:38
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  9. P3 16:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Dustin Wolf
  10. P3 15:28
    SHOT
    Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  11. P3 14:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  13. P3 14:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  14. P3 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Dustin Wolf
  15. P3 10:04
    John Leonard credited with hit on Hunter Brzustewicz in neutral zone
  16. P3 09:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  17. P3 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  18. P3 08:55
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
  19. P3 08:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  20. P3 07:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
  21. P3 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Dustin Wolf
  22. P3 07:08
    Penalty to Blake Coleman 2 minutes for Misconduct
  23. P3 07:08
    Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  24. P3 06:34
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  25. P3 06:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
  26. P3 05:57
    SHOT
    Martin Pospisil shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  27. P3 05:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  28. P3 04:44
    SHOT
    Matt Coronato shot blocked by John Leonard
  29. P3 04:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  30. P3 04:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  31. P3 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  32. P3 03:50
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  33. P3 03:00
    SHOT
    Albert Johansson shot blocked by Ryan Strome
  34. P3 02:45
    Mason Appleton credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
  35. P3 02:20
    SHOT
    Morgan Frost shot blocked by Sheldon Dries
  36. P3 01:57
    Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  37. P3 01:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  38. P3 00:58
    Shorthanded - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  39. P3 00:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
  40. P3 00:00
    Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  41. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  42. P2 19:58
    Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in defensive zone
  43. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Dustin Wolf
  44. P2 18:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
  45. P2 18:28
    Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  46. P2 17:15
    Matvei Gridin credited with hit on Marco Kasper in neutral zone
  47. P2 17:11
    Takeaway by Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  48. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  49. P2 15:32
    SHOT
    Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  50. P2 14:59
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  51. P2 14:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
  52. P2 13:56
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
  53. P2 13:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  54. P2 12:53
    SHOT
    Ryan Strome shot blocked by Justin Faulk
  55. P2 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by John Gibson
  56. P2 11:45
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Moritz Seider
    2-4
  57. P2 10:52
    Shorthanded - Kevin Bahl credited with hit on James van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
  58. P2 10:41
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  59. P2 10:41
    Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  60. P2 09:46
    Connor Zary won faceoff against Sheldon Dries in defensive zone
  61. P2 09:14
    SHOT
    Joel Hanley shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  62. P2 08:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Coleman
  63. P2 07:34
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in neutral zone
  64. P2 07:34
    Stoppage - Offside
  65. P2 07:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matt Coronato
    2-3
  66. P2 07:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Dustin Wolf
  67. P2 06:37
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Matt Coronato in neutral zone
  68. P2 06:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  69. P2 06:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by John Gibson
  70. P2 05:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by John Gibson
  71. P2 05:06
    Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  72. P2 05:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Dustin Wolf
  73. P2 04:37
    Power play - Ryan Strome won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  74. P2 04:35
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.T. Compher
  75. P2 03:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  76. P2 03:18
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
  77. P2 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by John Gibson
  78. P2 03:01
    Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  79. P2 02:52
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  80. P2 02:37
    SHOT
    Albert Johansson shot blocked by Connor Zary
  81. P2 02:02
    Dominik Shine won faceoff against Connor Zary in defensive zone
  82. P2 02:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Frost
  83. P2 01:50
    SHOT
    Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  84. P2 01:03
    Flames won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  85. P2 00:55
    SHOT
    Olli Maatta shot blocked by Patrick Kane
  86. P2 00:24
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  87. P2 00:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  88. P2 00:00
    Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  89. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  90. P1 17:42
    David Perron credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
  91. P1 17:37
    Ryan Lomberg credited with hit on Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone
  92. P1 17:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Morgan Frost
  93. P1 17:14
    Stoppage - Offside
  94. P1 16:26
    Power play - Sheldon Dries won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  95. P1 16:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Leonard
  96. P1 15:52
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by John Gibson
  97. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
  98. P1 15:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Moritz Seider shot blocked by Blake Coleman
  99. P1 15:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  100. P1 14:34
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  101. P1 14:34
    Penalty to Zach Whitecloud 2 minutes for Misconduct
  102. P1 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Dustin Wolf
  103. P1 13:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
  104. P1 12:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
  105. P1 12:15
    Flames won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in offensive zone
  106. P1 12:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  107. P1 11:43
    Connor Zary won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
  108. P1 11:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  109. P1 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  110. P1 11:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by John Gibson
  111. P1 10:32
    SHOT
    Matt Coronato shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  112. P1 09:28
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  113. P1 09:28
    Penalty to Dominik Shine 5 minutes for Fighting
  114. P1 09:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Pospisil saved by John Gibson
  115. P1 08:40
    Connor Zary won faceoff against Sheldon Dries in offensive zone
  116. P1 08:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P1 07:29
    Marco Kasper credited with hit on Zach Whitecloud in offensive zone
  118. P1 06:38
    Giveaway by Hunter Brzustewicz in neutral zone
  119. P1 06:20
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  120. P1 06:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  121. P1 06:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by John Gibson
  122. P1 04:45
    Connor Zary won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
  123. P1 04:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  124. P1 04:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Dustin Wolf
  125. P1 04:14
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  126. P1 04:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P1 03:05
    SHOT
    Power play - David Perron shot blocked by Joel Farabee
  128. P1 02:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Joel Hanley
  129. P1 02:47
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
  130. P1 02:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Justin Faulk saved by Dustin Wolf
  131. P1 02:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Moritz Seider
  132. P1 01:50
    Power play - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  133. P1 01:44
    SHOT
    Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
  134. P1 01:19
    Giveaway by Victor Olofsson in offensive zone
  135. P1 01:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P1 00:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by John Gibson
  137. P1 00:11
    Emmitt Finnie credited with hit on Blake Coleman in offensive zone
  138. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Flames
STATS
Red Wings
27Shots on Goal25
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins13
20Hits26
13 Shots Blocked 13
15Giveaways13
FlamesCGY
Red WingsDET
27Shots on Goal25
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
17Penalty Infraction Mins13
20Hits26
13 Shots Blocked 13
15Giveaways13

Flames vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flames vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Flames +158, Red Wings -180

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flames: 40%
  • Red Wings: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 40%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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