Sharks vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sharks vs. Senators NHL game on March 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Sharks
4
7
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Sharks
2 1 1 4
Senators
1 3 3 7
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sharks
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sharks
2 1 1 4
Senators
1 3 3 7
P3 18:02 Shakir Mukhamadullin shot blocked by Lars Eller
P3 17:43 Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk
P3 16:21 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by William Eklund
P3 16:14 Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
P3 16:04 Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by William Eklund
P3 13:48 Collin Graf shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 10:39 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Laurent Brossoit
P3 10:02 Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:47 Shot on goal by Sam Dickinson saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 09:37 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 09:34 Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Macklin Celebrini
P3 07:57 Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P3 07:06 Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Linus Ullmark
P3 07:01 Sam Dickinson shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 03:16 Shot on goal by Senators saved by Laurent Brossoit
P3 01:23 Sam Dickinson shot blocked by teammate
P3 01:03 Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Laurent Brossoit
P2 19:43 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Laurent Brossoit
P2 17:32 Shot missed by Michael Amadio
P2 17:17 Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Laurent Brossoit
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:50
    Giveaway by Michael Misa in offensive zone
  3. P3 18:02
    SHOT
    Shakir Mukhamadullin shot blocked by Lars Eller
  4. P3 17:53
    Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  5. P3 17:43
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:43
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk
    4-7
  7. P3 17:18
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  8. P3 16:21
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by William Eklund
  9. P3 16:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fabian Zetterlund
  10. P3 16:04
    SHOT
    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by William Eklund
  11. P3 14:50
    Philipp Kurashev won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  12. P3 13:52
    Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  13. P3 13:48
    SHOT
    Collin Graf shot blocked by Artem Zub
  14. P3 13:17
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  15. P3 13:08
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in neutral zone
  16. P3 12:04
    Giveaway by Jordan Spence in defensive zone
  17. P3 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Laurent Brossoit
  18. P3 10:32
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  19. P3 10:07
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  20. P3 10:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Linus Ullmark
  21. P3 09:49
    William Eklund won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  22. P3 09:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Dickinson saved by Linus Ullmark
  23. P3 09:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  24. P3 09:34
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Macklin Celebrini
  25. P3 09:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  26. P3 07:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Claude Giroux
  27. P3 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Eklund saved by Linus Ullmark
  28. P3 07:01
    SHOT
    Sam Dickinson shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  29. P3 06:03
    Giveaway by Jordan Spence in offensive zone
  30. P3 05:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  31. P3 04:33
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  32. P3 03:17
    Michael Misa won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  33. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Senators saved by Laurent Brossoit
  34. P3 02:33
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  35. P3 02:27
    Philipp Kurashev won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  36. P3 01:56
    Takeaway by Fabian Zetterlund in defensive zone
  37. P3 01:23
    SHOT
    Sam Dickinson shot blocked by teammate
  38. P3 01:05
    Adam Gaudette won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  39. P3 01:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Laurent Brossoit
  40. P3 01:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 00:00
    Power play - Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
  42. P2 19:43
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Laurent Brossoit
  43. P2 18:19
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  44. P2 17:57
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in offensive zone
  45. P2 17:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  46. P2 17:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Laurent Brossoit
  47. P2 17:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Laurent Brossoit
  48. P2 15:08
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Sam Dickinson
  49. P2 14:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tyler Kleven
    3-4
  50. P2 13:40
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  51. P2 13:28
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
  52. P2 12:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  53. P2 12:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  54. P2 12:03
    Penalty to Dmitry Orlov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Fabian Zetterlund)
  55. P2 11:18
    Philipp Kurashev won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
  56. P2 11:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  57. P2 10:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Collin Graf
    3-2
  58. P2 10:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  59. P2 10:03
    Adam Gaudette won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  60. P2 10:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  61. P2 10:01
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
  62. P2 09:30
    Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  63. P2 08:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Philipp Kurashev saved by Linus Ullmark
  64. P2 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Laurent Brossoit
  65. P2 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  66. P2 07:18
    SHOT
    Sam Dickinson shot blocked by Artem Zub
  67. P2 06:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shakir Mukhamadullin saved by Linus Ullmark
  68. P2 06:07
    SHOT
    Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
  69. P2 05:44
    SHOT
    Adam Gaudette shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  70. P2 04:31
    Philipp Kurashev won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  71. P2 03:26
    Giveaway by Collin Graf in defensive zone
  72. P2 03:18
    SHOT
    Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Sam Dickinson
  73. P2 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Linus Ullmark
  74. P2 01:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
  75. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  76. P1 19:19
    Penalty to Vincent Desharnais 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Claude Giroux)
  77. P1 18:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P1 16:29
    Takeaway by Nick Cousins in offensive zone
  79. P1 16:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Dickinson saved by Linus Ullmark
  80. P1 15:10
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Mario Ferraro
  81. P1 14:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Toffoli saved by Linus Ullmark
  82. P1 14:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  83. P1 13:08
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  84. P1 13:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Desharnais saved by Linus Ullmark
  85. P1 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Warren Foegele
  86. P1 12:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Warren Foegele
  87. P1 11:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  88. P1 11:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  89. P1 11:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Amadio
  90. P1 11:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  91. P1 10:47
    SHOT
    Will Smith shot blocked by Artem Zub
  92. P1 10:46
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
  93. P1 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Gaudette saved by Linus Ullmark
  94. P1 10:20
    Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Adam Gaudette in offensive zone
  95. P1 10:04
    Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  96. P1 10:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikolas Matinpalo
  97. P1 09:59
    Stoppage - Icing
  98. P1 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kiefer Sherwood saved by Linus Ullmark
  99. P1 08:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Toffoli saved by Linus Ullmark
  100. P1 08:02
    SHOT
    Dennis Gilbert shot blocked by Tyler Toffoli
  101. P1 08:00
    Sharks won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  102. P1 07:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  103. P1 07:33
    Sharks won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  104. P1 07:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Shakir Mukhamadullin
  105. P1 07:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Laurent Brossoit
  106. P1 06:17
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  107. P1 06:17
    Sharks won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  108. P1 05:08
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Michael Misa in neutral zone
  109. P1 05:08
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  110. P1 04:05
    Philipp Kurashev won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  111. P1 03:47
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in defensive zone
  112. P1 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Linus Ullmark
  113. P1 02:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Linus Ullmark
  114. P1 01:42
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  115. P1 01:42
    Penalty to Tim Stutzle 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Michael Misa)
  116. P1 01:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Laurent Brossoit
  117. P1 01:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  118. P1 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Laurent Brossoit
  119. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Sharks
STATS
Senators
23Shots on Goal24
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
23Hits30
19 Shots Blocked 12
20Giveaways11
SharksSJ
SenatorsOTT
23Shots on Goal24
41% Faceoff Win % 59%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
23Hits30
19 Shots Blocked 12
20Giveaways11

Sharks vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sharks vs. Senators
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sharks +175, Senators -200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sharks: 36%
  • Senators: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sharks a win probability of 36%, while the Senators have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sharks vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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