Oilers vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Golden Knights NHL game on March 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Oilers
4
2
T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights
T-Mobile Arena
TEAM123T
Oilers
0 1 3 4
Golden Knights
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    100%
  • Golden Knights
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
0 1 3 4
Golden Knights
0 1 1 2
P3 18:47 Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
P3 17:48 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 15:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Adin Hill
P3 15:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Adin Hill
P3 15:09 Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 14:47 Jack Eichel shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 14:02 Matt Savoie shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
P3 13:24 Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Connor Ingram
P3 12:41 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
P3 12:26 Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P3 12:15 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Connor Ingram
P3 11:53 Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl
P3 11:17 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 07:00 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Connor Ingram
P3 05:49 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Connor Ingram
P3 02:32 Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Adin Hill
P3 02:31 Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Adin Hill
P3 02:24 Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 01:47 Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
P3 01:32 Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Connor Ingram
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
  3. P3 18:42
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in neutral zone
  4. P3 18:03
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  5. P3 17:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  6. P3 17:27
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  7. P3 16:43
    Power play - Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Colton Sissons in neutral zone
  8. P3 15:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Adin Hill
  9. P3 15:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Adin Hill
  10. P3 15:13
    Penalty to Shea Theodore 2 minutes for High Sticking
  11. P3 15:13
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  12. P3 15:09
    SHOT
    Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Mitch Marner
  13. P3 14:54
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  14. P3 14:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  15. P3 14:51
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  16. P3 14:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  17. P3 14:47
    SHOT
    Jack Eichel shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  18. P3 14:33
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  19. P3 14:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  20. P3 14:04
    Oilers won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  21. P3 14:02
    SHOT
    Matt Savoie shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  22. P3 13:35
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  23. P3 13:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Connor Ingram
  25. P3 12:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  26. P3 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  27. P3 12:17
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  28. P3 12:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 12:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Connor Ingram
  30. P3 11:53
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  31. P3 11:53
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl
    3-1
  32. P3 11:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  33. P3 11:05
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  34. P3 11:05
    Penalty to Brett Howden 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Darnell Nurse)
  35. P3 11:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  36. P3 10:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  37. P3 10:20
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  38. P3 10:08
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
  39. P3 10:08
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  40. P3 09:32
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  41. P3 09:32
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  42. P3 08:31
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  43. P3 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Connor Ingram
  44. P3 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Connor Ingram
  45. P3 04:51
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  46. P3 02:34
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  47. P3 02:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Adin Hill
  48. P3 02:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Adin Hill
  49. P3 02:24
    SHOT
    Keegan Kolesar shot blocked by Jake Walman
  50. P3 01:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Hanifin
  51. P3 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Connor Ingram
  52. P3 01:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  53. P3 01:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kasperi Kapanen saved by Adin Hill
  54. P3 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  55. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  56. P2 19:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  57. P2 19:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Connor Ingram
  58. P2 19:22
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  59. P2 19:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  60. P2 19:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  61. P2 18:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Connor Ingram
  62. P2 17:55
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Jason Dickinson
  63. P2 17:08
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  64. P2 17:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  65. P2 15:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  66. P2 15:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Matt Savoie shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  67. P2 14:21
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  68. P2 14:21
    Penalty to Colton Sissons 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
  69. P2 13:09
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  70. P2 13:08
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Noah Hanifin
    1-1
  71. P2 12:37
    Power play - Brett Howden won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in neutral zone
  72. P2 10:45
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  73. P2 10:45
    Penalty to Jake Walman 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Brandon Saad)
  74. P2 10:45
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  75. P2 10:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Connor Ingram
  76. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar
  77. P2 09:56
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Matt Savoie in offensive zone
  78. P2 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
  79. P2 07:35
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  80. P2 07:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  81. P2 06:49
    SHOT
    Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Leon Draisaitl
  82. P2 06:49
    SHOT
    Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  83. P2 06:32
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  84. P2 06:10
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  85. P2 06:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  86. P2 06:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Adin Hill
  87. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  88. P2 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Connor Ingram
  89. P2 03:31
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  90. P2 03:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Trent Frederic assisted by Evan Bouchard
    1-0
  91. P2 03:02
    SHOT
    Colton Dach shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  92. P2 02:46
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Josh Samanski in defensive zone
  93. P2 02:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  95. P2 01:36
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Matt Savoie
  96. P2 01:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Connor Ingram
  97. P2 00:00
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  98. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  99. P1 19:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Connor Ingram
  100. P1 17:57
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  101. P1 17:54
    SHOT
    Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  102. P1 17:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Adin Hill
  103. P1 17:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Connor Ingram
  104. P1 16:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Connor Ingram
  105. P1 15:57
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Jake Walman
  106. P1 15:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  107. P1 14:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Adin Hill
  108. P1 14:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Smith
  109. P1 14:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Connor Ingram
  110. P1 13:44
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Josh Samanski
  111. P1 13:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  112. P1 13:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  113. P1 12:50
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  114. P1 12:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  115. P1 12:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Connor Ingram
  116. P1 12:24
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  117. P1 12:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  118. P1 12:08
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  119. P1 12:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  120. P1 11:56
    SHOT
    Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
  121. P1 10:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Hanifin saved by Connor Ingram
  122. P1 09:57
    Matt Savoie won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  123. P1 09:08
    SHOT
    Connor McDavid shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
  124. P1 09:06
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  125. P1 08:45
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
  126. P1 08:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden McNabb
  127. P1 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shea Theodore
  128. P1 07:25
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  129. P1 07:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Murphy
  130. P1 07:19
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in offensive zone
  131. P1 07:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  132. P1 06:51
    Oilers won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  133. P1 06:51
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  134. P1 05:25
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  135. P1 04:32
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Josh Samanski in defensive zone
  136. P1 04:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Adin Hill
  137. P1 04:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  138. P1 03:28
    Shorthanded - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  139. P1 03:28
    Stoppage - Offside
  140. P1 02:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  141. P1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jason Dickinson saved by Adin Hill
  142. P1 01:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Jason Dickinson
  143. P1 01:43
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  144. P1 01:43
    Penalty to Mattias Ekholm 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Keegan Kolesar)
  145. P1 01:38
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in offensive zone
  146. P1 01:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Murphy saved by Adin Hill
  147. P1 01:09
    Giveaway by Brayden McNabb in defensive zone
  148. P1 00:38
    SHOT
    Cole Smith shot blocked by Ty Emberson
  149. P1 00:34
    Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
  150. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Golden Knights
19Shots on Goal26
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
26Hits15
19 Shots Blocked 11
12Giveaways12
OilersEDM
Golden KnightsVGK
19Shots on Goal26
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins6
26Hits15
19 Shots Blocked 11
12Giveaways12

Oilers vs. Golden Knights: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Golden Knights
  • Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at undefined
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -106, Golden Knights -108

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 48%
  • Golden Knights: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 48%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Golden Knights predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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