Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Kraken NHL game on January 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Maple Leafs
2
5
Climate Pledge Arena
Kraken
Climate Pledge Arena
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 2
Kraken
1 2 2 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Maple Leafs
    0%
  • Kraken
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
1 0 1 2
Kraken
1 2 2 5
P3 19:38 Brandon Montour shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 17:54 Shot on goal by Kaapo Kakko saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 17:23 Goal scored by Jared McCann (Empty Net)
P3 16:50 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 16:11 Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Joey Daccord
P3 15:48 Shot missed by Jared McCann
P3 11:29 Power play - Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 11:05 Power play - Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 10:00 Power play - Matty Beniers shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 08:42 Troy Stecher shot blocked by Ryker Evans
P3 07:35 Shot missed by Matty Beniers
P3 07:00 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Joey Daccord
P3 05:53 Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
P3 05:50 Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Joey Daccord
P3 04:49 Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P3 03:38 Matthew Knies shot blocked by Brandon Montour
P3 02:39 Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P3 02:28 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Joey Daccord
P3 02:03 Jacob Melanson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 00:05 Shot on goal by Eeli Tolvanen saved by Anthony Stolarz
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:38
    SHOT
    Brandon Montour shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  3. P3 18:26
    Jacob Melanson credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
  4. P3 17:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaapo Kakko saved by Anthony Stolarz
  5. P3 17:23
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jared McCann (Empty Net)
    2-5
  7. P3 16:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  8. P3 16:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 16:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Joey Daccord
  10. P3 15:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. P3 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jared McCann
  12. P3 14:07
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  13. P3 14:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  14. P3 13:30
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Jared McCann in defensive zone
  15. P3 12:54
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  16. P3 12:48
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  17. P3 12:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  18. P3 11:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Jaden Schwartz shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  19. P3 11:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Eeli Tolvanen shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  20. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Matty Beniers shot blocked by Troy Stecher
  21. P3 09:37
    Penalty to Brandon Carlo 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Eeli Tolvanen)
  22. P3 09:31
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  23. P3 08:42
    SHOT
    Troy Stecher shot blocked by Ryker Evans
  24. P3 07:50
    Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Jordan Eberle in defensive zone
  25. P3 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matty Beniers
  26. P3 07:22
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  27. P3 07:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  28. P3 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Joey Daccord
  29. P3 06:04
    Shane Wright won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  30. P3 05:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
  31. P3 05:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Joey Daccord
  32. P3 04:57
    Penalty to Shane Wright 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Nicolas Roy)
  33. P3 04:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
  34. P3 03:38
    SHOT
    Matthew Knies shot blocked by Brandon Montour
  35. P3 02:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Laughton
  36. P3 02:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Joey Daccord
  37. P3 02:10
    Jared McCann won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  38. P3 02:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  39. P3 02:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  40. P3 02:03
    SHOT
    Jacob Melanson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  41. P3 00:30
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  42. P3 00:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  43. P3 00:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eeli Tolvanen saved by Anthony Stolarz
  44. P3 00:00
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  45. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  46. P2 19:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Joey Daccord
  47. P2 19:24
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  48. P2 19:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  49. P2 19:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P2 19:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Joey Daccord
  51. P2 18:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Joey Daccord
  52. P2 18:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  53. P2 18:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  54. P2 17:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
  55. P2 17:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
  56. P2 17:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  57. P2 16:43
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shane Wright
  58. P2 16:41
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  59. P2 16:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  60. P2 16:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Maple Leafs
  61. P2 15:34
    Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Matthew Knies in defensive zone
  62. P2 15:30
    Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  63. P2 15:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  64. P2 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  65. P2 14:48
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  66. P2 14:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  67. P2 13:30
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  68. P2 13:30
    Stoppage - Offside
  69. P2 12:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Joey Daccord
  70. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Knies
  71. P2 11:48
    John Tavares won faceoff against Kraken in defensive zone
  72. P2 10:40
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
  73. P2 09:58
    Jacob Melanson credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
  74. P2 09:52
    Brandon Carlo credited with hit on Jacob Melanson in neutral zone
  75. P2 08:55
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
  76. P2 08:55
    Stoppage - Offside
  77. P2 07:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  78. P2 07:34
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
  79. P2 07:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  80. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Joey Daccord
  81. P2 06:54
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
  82. P2 06:54
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Montour assisted by Freddy Gaudreau and Chandler Stephenson
    1-3
  83. P2 06:23
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  84. P2 06:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Shane Wright assisted by Jaden Schwartz and Vince Dunn
    1-2
  85. P2 05:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Joey Daccord
  86. P2 05:10
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  87. P2 05:10
    Stoppage - Icing
  88. P2 03:26
    Giveaway by Adam Larsson in defensive zone
  89. P2 03:10
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  90. P2 03:10
    Stoppage - Offside
  91. P2 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Winterton saved by Anthony Stolarz
  92. P2 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Melanson saved by Anthony Stolarz
  93. P2 01:17
    Brandon Montour credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
  94. P2 01:08
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  95. P2 01:05
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
  96. P2 01:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  97. P2 00:00
    Power play - Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  98. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  99. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  100. P1 19:06
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
  101. P1 19:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  102. P1 18:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Oleksiak
  103. P1 18:46
    Troy Stecher credited with hit on Ryan Winterton in defensive zone
  104. P1 18:25
    Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  105. P1 18:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P1 17:29
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  107. P1 16:44
    SHOT
    Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
  108. P1 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  109. P1 16:14
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Shane Wright in offensive zone
  110. P1 16:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  111. P1 15:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jaden Schwartz saved by Anthony Stolarz
  112. P1 15:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jaden Schwartz saved by Anthony Stolarz
  113. P1 15:02
    Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  114. P1 15:02
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nicholas Robertson
    1-1
  115. P1 14:27
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
  116. P1 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryker Evans
  117. P1 12:48
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
  118. P1 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  119. P1 12:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Joey Daccord
  120. P1 12:08
    John Tavares won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  121. P1 12:08
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  122. P1 11:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  123. P1 11:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Joey Daccord
  124. P1 10:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryker Evans
  125. P1 09:14
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  126. P1 08:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by teammate
  127. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
  128. P1 06:35
    John Tavares won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  129. P1 06:35
    Penalty to Adam Larsson 2 minutes for Hooking
  130. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Joey Daccord
  131. P1 06:16
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
  132. P1 06:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Anthony Stolarz
  133. P1 06:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Eeli Tolvanen saved by Anthony Stolarz
  134. P1 04:08
    Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Kaapo Kakko in neutral zone
  135. P1 03:54
    Maple Leafs won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  136. P1 03:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  137. P1 02:36
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
  138. P1 02:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  139. P1 02:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
  140. P1 01:56
    Takeaway by Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  141. P1 01:25
    Giveaway by Troy Stecher in neutral zone
  142. P1 01:21
    Shane Wright won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  143. P1 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Berkly Catton
  144. P1 00:00
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Kraken
31Shots on Goal22
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits13
9 Shots Blocked 12
19Giveaways17
Maple LeafsTOR
KrakenSEA
31Shots on Goal22
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
20Hits13
9 Shots Blocked 12
19Giveaways17

Maple Leafs vs. Kraken: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Kraken
  • Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -113, Kraken +100

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 49%
  • Kraken: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 49%, while the Kraken have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Kraken are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Climate Pledge Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Kraken predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.