Capitals vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Red Wings NHL game on January 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Capitals
4
3
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 0 2 0 4
Red Wings
0 1 2 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Capitals
    100%
  • Red Wings
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Capitals
1 0 2 0 4
Red Wings
0 1 2 0 3
OT1 02:47 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
OT1 01:10 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by John Gibson
P3 18:44 Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:16 Dylan Larkin shot blocked by John Carlson
P3 17:20 Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
P3 16:34 Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 16:02 Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 14:43 Goal scored by Declan Chisholm
P3 14:41 Dylan Strome shot blocked by Albert Johansson
P3 13:39 Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 10:25 Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 10:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by John Gibson
P3 10:01 Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 09:36 Goal scored by Dylan Strome
P3 09:30 Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by John Gibson
P3 08:47 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 06:24 Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
P3 04:14 Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 03:38 Tom Wilson shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Nic Dowd on John Gibson
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Ryan Leonard on John Gibson
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
  5. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  6. OT1 02:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  7. OT1 02:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
  8. OT1 01:16
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  9. OT1 01:16
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
  10. OT1 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by John Gibson
  11. OT1 00:00
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  12. P3 19:07
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  13. P3 18:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  14. P3 18:40
    Takeaway by John Carlson in defensive zone
  15. P3 18:20
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  16. P3 18:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
  17. P3 18:16
    SHOT
    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by John Carlson
  18. P3 17:34
    Giveaway by Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  19. P3 17:23
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  20. P3 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  21. P3 16:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Chiarot saved by Charlie Lindgren
  22. P3 16:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  23. P3 15:42
    Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone
  24. P3 14:44
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  25. P3 14:43
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Declan Chisholm
    3-1
  26. P3 14:41
    SHOT
    Dylan Strome shot blocked by Albert Johansson
  27. P3 13:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Charlie Lindgren
  28. P3 12:26
    Power play - Giveaway by Patrick Kane in offensive zone
  29. P3 11:52
    Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  30. P3 11:04
    Power play - Ethen Frank credited with hit on Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  31. P3 10:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  32. P3 10:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by John Gibson
  33. P3 10:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Tom Wilson shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  34. P3 09:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dylan Strome
    2-1
  35. P3 09:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by John Gibson
  36. P3 09:28
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  37. P3 09:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 08:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
  39. P3 06:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by teammate
  40. P3 06:12
    Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  41. P3 06:12
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  42. P3 06:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
  43. P3 05:50
    Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  44. P3 05:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  45. P3 04:36
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
  46. P3 04:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
  47. P3 03:38
    SHOT
    Tom Wilson shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  48. P3 03:37
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by teammate
  49. P3 03:24
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  50. P3 03:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  51. P3 03:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  52. P3 03:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Charlie Lindgren
  53. P3 02:14
    Giveaway by Albert Johansson in defensive zone
  54. P3 01:54
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
  55. P3 01:36
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  56. P3 01:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  57. P3 01:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by John Gibson
  58. P3 01:08
    SHOT
    Marco Kasper shot blocked by John Carlson
  59. P3 00:49
    Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  60. P3 00:30
    SHOT
    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  61. P3 00:27
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  62. P3 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.T. Compher saved by Charlie Lindgren
  63. P3 00:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emmitt Finnie
  64. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  65. P2 18:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  66. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Charlie Lindgren
  67. P2 17:31
    SHOT
    Albert Johansson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  68. P2 16:53
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Dylan Larkin
  69. P2 16:35
    SHOT
    Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by teammate
  70. P2 16:20
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  71. P2 16:12
    Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
  72. P2 15:56
    Nic Dowd credited with hit on Albert Johansson in offensive zone
  73. P2 15:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Charlie Lindgren
  74. P2 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by John Gibson
  75. P2 14:48
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  76. P2 14:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  77. P2 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nic Dowd
  78. P2 12:24
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
  79. P2 11:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by John Gibson
  80. P2 11:43
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  81. P2 11:43
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
  82. P2 10:59
    SHOT
    Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by John Carlson
  83. P2 10:36
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against J.T. Compher in defensive zone
  84. P2 10:22
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
  85. P2 10:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lucas Raymond saved by Charlie Lindgren
  86. P2 09:52
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  87. P2 09:52
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ben Chiarot assisted by Alex DeBrincat and Patrick Kane
    1-1
  88. P2 09:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  89. P2 09:22
    Giveaway by Moritz Seider in defensive zone
  90. P2 08:47
    Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  91. P2 08:21
    Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker in defensive zone
  92. P2 08:17
    Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  93. P2 07:27
    Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
  94. P2 07:05
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by J.T. Compher
  95. P2 06:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Charlie Lindgren
  96. P2 05:25
    Shorthanded - Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  97. P2 04:45
    Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  98. P2 03:40
    SHOT
    Tom Wilson shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
  99. P2 03:38
    Tom Wilson credited with hit on Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
  100. P2 02:54
    Stoppage - Icing
  101. P2 02:42
    Axel Sandin-Pellikka credited with hit on Brandon Duhaime in defensive zone
  102. P2 02:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  103. P2 02:20
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  104. P2 01:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  105. P2 00:56
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  106. P2 00:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  107. P2 00:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  108. P2 00:00
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  109. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  110. P1 19:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Charlie Lindgren
  111. P1 17:58
    Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  112. P1 17:31
    Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
  113. P1 16:08
    Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Andrew Copp in offensive zone
  114. P1 15:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andrew Copp
  115. P1 14:38
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  116. P1 14:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  117. P1 13:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
  118. P1 13:25
    Elmer Soderblom credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in neutral zone
  119. P1 13:10
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
  120. P1 13:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  121. P1 12:24
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  122. P1 12:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  123. P1 11:31
    SHOT
    Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  124. P1 11:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Charlie Lindgren
  125. P1 10:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  126. P1 09:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  127. P1 09:27
    SHOT
    Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
  128. P1 08:38
    Capitals won faceoff against Red Wings in neutral zone
  129. P1 08:02
    SHOT
    Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  130. P1 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Marco Kasper saved by Charlie Lindgren
  131. P1 06:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Declan Chisholm saved by John Gibson
  132. P1 06:45
    Giveaway by Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  133. P1 06:27
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in neutral zone
  134. P1 05:53
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  135. P1 05:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P1 05:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by John Gibson
  137. P1 05:47
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  138. P1 05:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  139. P1 05:01
    SHOT
    Patrick Kane shot blocked by Hendrix Lapierre
  140. P1 04:58
    Capitals won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  141. P1 04:45
    SHOT
    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  142. P1 04:36
    Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  143. P1 04:06
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  144. P1 04:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  145. P1 04:04
    SHOT
    John Carlson shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
  146. P1 03:38
    Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Elmer Soderblom in defensive zone
  147. P1 02:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  148. P1 02:00
    Stoppage - Chlg Vis - off-side
  149. P1 01:06
    Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Tom Wilson in offensive zone
  150. P1 00:40
    Nic Dowd credited with hit on James van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
  151. P1 00:29
    Ryan Leonard credited with hit on J.T. Compher in offensive zone
Stats
Capitals
STATS
Red Wings
23Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits13
21 Shots Blocked 15
6Giveaways14
CapitalsWSH
Red WingsDET
23Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits13
21 Shots Blocked 15
6Giveaways14

Capitals vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Capitals vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Capitals +118, Red Wings -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Capitals: 47%
  • Red Wings: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 47%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Capitals vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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