Mammoth vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mammoth vs. Lightning NHL game on January 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Mammoth
0
2
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123T
Mammoth
0 0 0 0
Lightning
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mammoth
    0%
  • Lightning
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Mammoth
0 0 0 0
Lightning
0 1 1 2
P3 19:02 Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 18:24 Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 17:56 Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 15:23 Shot missed by JJ Peterka
P3 12:11 Jack McBain shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 11:57 Shot missed by Jack McBain
P3 11:55 Nick DeSimone shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:38 Shot on goal by Dylan Guenther saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:15 Shot on goal by Clayton Keller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:26 Shot on goal by Jack McBain saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:13 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 05:55 Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P3 05:22 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Karel Vejmelka
P3 04:04 Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 03:17 Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 03:16 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 01:36 Barrett Hayton shot blocked by Max Crozier
P3 00:14 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 19:37 Shot missed by John Marino
P2 18:16 Nick Schmaltz shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:44
    Power play - Jack McBain won faceoff against Jack Finley in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:44
    Penalty to Lightning 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Mikhail Sergachev)
  5. P3 19:44
    Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  6. P3 19:14
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in neutral zone
  7. P3 19:07
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Barrett Hayton in offensive zone
  8. P3 19:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 19:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  10. P3 18:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  11. P3 17:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  12. P3 17:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  13. P3 17:29
    Mammoth won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  14. P3 16:21
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Lawson Crouse in neutral zone
  15. P3 16:21
    Stoppage - Offside
  16. P3 15:53
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack McBain in offensive zone
  17. P3 15:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  18. P3 15:47
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack McBain in offensive zone
  19. P3 15:28
    Michael Carcone credited with hit on Max Crozier in offensive zone
  20. P3 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by JJ Peterka
  21. P3 14:34
    Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Lawson Crouse in neutral zone
  22. P3 14:34
    Stoppage - Offside
  23. P3 13:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  24. P3 13:16
    Power play - Barrett Hayton won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  25. P3 12:11
    SHOT
    Jack McBain shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  26. P3 11:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack McBain
  27. P3 11:55
    SHOT
    Nick DeSimone shot blocked by teammate
  28. P3 11:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Guenther saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  29. P3 10:40
    Barrett Hayton won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
  30. P3 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Clayton Keller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  31. P3 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack McBain saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  32. P3 09:15
    Jack McBain won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  33. P3 09:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Karel Vejmelka
  34. P3 08:16
    Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Sean Durzi in offensive zone
  35. P3 07:54
    Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
  36. P3 05:58
    Dominic James won faceoff against Jack McBain in offensive zone
  37. P3 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  38. P3 05:40
    Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  39. P3 05:31
    Jack McBain won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  40. P3 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Karel Vejmelka
  41. P3 04:04
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
  42. P3 03:17
    SHOT
    Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  43. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  44. P3 01:36
    SHOT
    Barrett Hayton shot blocked by Max Crozier
  45. P3 01:26
    Declan Carlile credited with hit on JJ Peterka in defensive zone
  46. P3 00:59
    Barrett Hayton won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
  47. P3 00:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  48. P3 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in neutral zone
  49. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  50. P2 19:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Marino
  51. P2 19:29
    Mammoth won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  52. P2 18:28
    Dominic James won faceoff against Michael Carcone in offensive zone
  53. P2 18:28
    Stoppage
  54. P2 18:16
    SHOT
    Nick Schmaltz shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  55. P2 17:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Karel Vejmelka
  56. P2 17:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Karel Vejmelka
  57. P2 16:47
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
  58. P2 16:24
    Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  59. P2 16:21
    Shorthanded - Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  60. P2 16:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  61. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by teammate
  62. P2 15:40
    Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  63. P2 15:39
    Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  64. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Karel Vejmelka
  65. P2 14:05
    Power play - Jack Finley won faceoff against Kevin Stenlund in offensive zone
  66. P2 14:05
    Penalty to Nick Paul 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Ian Cole)
  67. P2 14:05
    Penalty to Ian Cole 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Nick Paul)
  68. P2 12:30
    Giveaway by Barrett Hayton in neutral zone
  69. P2 11:48
    Giveaway by Clayton Keller in offensive zone
  70. P2 11:44
    Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  71. P2 11:19
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in offensive zone
  72. P2 11:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  73. P2 09:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Stenlund
  74. P2 09:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Stenlund
  75. P2 09:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  76. P2 08:38
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
  77. P2 08:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Schmaltz
  78. P2 07:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Guenther
  79. P2 07:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  80. P2 07:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Clayton Keller shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  81. P2 07:05
    Mammoth won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  82. P2 07:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  83. P2 06:59
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  84. P2 06:59
    Mammoth won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  85. P2 06:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P2 06:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Daniil But saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  87. P2 05:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Barrett Hayton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  88. P2 04:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Guenther saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  89. P2 04:45
    Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Barrett Hayton)
  90. P2 04:34
    SHOT
    Sean Durzi shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
  91. P2 04:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  92. P2 04:05
    SHOT
    Nick DeSimone shot blocked by Jack Finley
  93. P2 03:47
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  94. P2 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  95. P2 01:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Karel Vejmelka
  96. P2 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Karel Vejmelka
  97. P2 00:47
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by John Marino
  98. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in neutral zone
  99. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  100. P1 19:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  101. P1 18:22
    Shorthanded - Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  102. P1 18:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P1 18:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  104. P1 17:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Nick Paul shot blocked by teammate
  105. P1 17:16
    Mammoth won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  106. P1 16:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  107. P1 16:34
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Daniil But in defensive zone
  108. P1 16:31
    SHOT
    Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  109. P1 16:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  110. P1 15:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  111. P1 15:07
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Schmaltz in defensive zone
  112. P1 14:13
    Kevin Stenlund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  113. P1 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Daniil But saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  114. P1 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Barrett Hayton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  115. P1 11:53
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by John Marino
  116. P1 11:35
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack McBain in defensive zone
  117. P1 11:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  118. P1 10:44
    Brandon Tanev credited with hit on Maxim Groshev in offensive zone
  119. P1 10:32
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Kevin Stenlund in defensive zone
  120. P1 10:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  121. P1 10:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kailer Yamamoto saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  122. P1 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lawson Crouse
  123. P1 09:42
    Nick Schmaltz won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  124. P1 09:42
    SHOT
    Clayton Keller shot blocked by teammate
  125. P1 09:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Karel Vejmelka
  126. P1 08:57
    Barrett Hayton won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  127. P1 08:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  128. P1 08:20
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jack McBain in defensive zone
  129. P1 08:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  130. P1 07:27
    Mammoth won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  131. P1 07:27
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  132. P1 06:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  133. P1 05:22
    Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
  134. P1 05:07
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Barrett Hayton in defensive zone
  135. P1 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Guenther
  136. P1 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Guenther saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  137. P1 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  138. P1 02:33
    Jack Finley won faceoff against Kevin Stenlund in neutral zone
  139. P1 02:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  140. P1 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Karel Vejmelka
  141. P1 02:11
    SHOT
    Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Jack Finley
  142. P1 02:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  143. P1 02:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  144. P1 01:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Barrett Hayton
  145. P1 01:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Barrett Hayton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  146. P1 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Guenther
  147. P1 01:01
    Michael Carcone credited with hit on Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  148. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Mammoth
STATS
Lightning
28Shots on Goal29
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
19Penalty Infraction Mins17
18Hits18
8 Shots Blocked 20
10Giveaways10
MammothUTA
LightningTB
28Shots on Goal29
52% Faceoff Win % 48%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
19Penalty Infraction Mins17
18Hits18
8 Shots Blocked 20
10Giveaways10

Mammoth vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mammoth vs. Lightning
  • Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Mammoth +135, Lightning -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mammoth: 42%
  • Lightning: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mammoth a win probability of 42%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Mammoth in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mammoth vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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