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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Gianluca Cadenasso prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Tirante vs Cadenasso predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Thiago Agustin Tirante will face Gianluca Cadenasso in the round of 128 at the ATP Rome event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Thiago Tirante as the most likely winner of the Tirante vs. Cadenasso match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tirante vs. Cadenasso prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Tirante-Cadenasso men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Tirante a 63% chance of defeating Cadenasso at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Tirante has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tirante (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Gianluca Cadenasso odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tirante | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -210 | +182 |
| First Set | -175 | +137 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-155) | +2.5 (-105) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-120) | u21.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tirante vs. Cadenasso picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cadenasso | +182 |
| First Set | Cadenasso | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Gianluca Cadenasso to win.
Although Cadenasso is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tirante vs. Cadenasso updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Gianluca Cadenasso is scheduled to start on Thursday at 11:15 AM ET.
- Who: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Gianluca Cadenasso
- Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:15 AM ET/8:15AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Thiago Tirante, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Gianluca Cadenasso at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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