Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley prediction: Why Texas Rio Grande Valley is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]

Texas Rio Grande Valley will take on Stephen F. Austin, in what is expected to be a tight men's college basketball game, at UTRGV Fieldhouse on Saturday, beginning at 5:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Texas Rio Grande Valley a slight edge with a 53% win probability over Stephen F. Austin.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Stephen F. Austin and Texas Rio Grande Valley 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Texas Rio Grande Valley a 53% chance of beating Stephen F. Austin. Our predicted score is Stephen F. Austin 70-70 Texas Rio Grande Valley.

According to our model, Stephen F. Austin (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 144.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 70-70 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley.

Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: