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Solana Sierra vs. Karolina Pliskova prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Get Sierra vs Pliskova predictions for WTA Madrid Open.

Solana Sierra and Karolina Pliskova will lock horns in the round of 16 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Monday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Karolina Pliskova as the most likely winner of the Sierra vs. Pliskova match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sierra vs. Pliskova prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Sierra-Pliskova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Pliskova a 58% chance of defeating Sierra at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Pliskova has a 56% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.
Solana Sierra vs. Karolina Pliskova odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sierra | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +137 | -156 |
| First Set | +130 | -164 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sierra vs. Pliskova picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sierra | +137 |
| First Set | Sierra | +130 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Solana Sierra to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sierra vs. Pliskova updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Solana Sierra and Karolina Pliskova is scheduled to commence on Monday at 7:00 AM ET.
- Who: Solana Sierra vs. Karolina Pliskova
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Karolina Pliskova, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Solana Sierra at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
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