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Senegal vs. France 2026 World Cup preview: Experts release early predictions for Group I matchup
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Senegal vs France FIFA World Cup game.
Senegal and France will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at MetLife Stadium on Tuesday, June 16.
This Group I clash sees Senegal, recent AFCON champions, face France, the 2018 World Cup winners.
With 130 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors France to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive France vs. Senegal page and World Cup predictions hub.
Senegal vs. France early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Senegal vs. France game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: Senegal 14%, Draw 21%, France 65%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 52%, Under 48%
- Both teams to score: Yes 47%, No 53%
- Most likely final score: France 1-0 Senegal (12.5%)
As of February 6, 2026, these France-Senegal figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Senegal vs. France World Cup details
The soccer World Cup matchup between France and Senegal is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
- Teams: France vs. Senegal
- Tournament stage: Group I
- Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
Senegal vs. France opening odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group I game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Senegal +650, France -240, Draw +360
- Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+114)
Odds subject to change as the tournament draws nearer. The best bets below reflect the odds and predictions at the time of last publish.
France vs. Senegal picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Senegal | +650 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +114 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early play to make on this game being Under 2.5 total goals.
France vs. Senegal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 France win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| France 1-0 Senegal | 12.5% |
| France 2-0 Senegal | 12.2% |
| France 1-1 Senegal | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.1% chance that both teams scoring, and a 52.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, France has a 64.7% win probability, Senegal has a 14.4% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
With three host nations and record audiences tuned in, an opening win could set the tone for either team's campaign.
Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our responsible gambling resources.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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