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Patrick Kypson vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Kypson vs Tsitsipas predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Patrick Kypson will take on Stefanos Tsitsipas in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Stefanos Tsitsipas as the most likely winner of the Kypson vs. Tsitsipas match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Kypson vs. Tsitsipas prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Kypson-Tsitsipas men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Tsitsipas a 70% chance of beating Kypson at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Tsitsipas has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tsitsipas (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Patrick Kypson vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kypson | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +230 | -278 |
| First Set | +175 | -227 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-118) | -3.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-116) | u22.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kypson vs. Tsitsipas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kypson | +230 |
| First Set | Tsitsipas | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Patrick Kypson to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kypson vs. Tsitsipas updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Patrick Kypson and Stefanos Tsitsipas is scheduled to start on Thursday at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Patrick Kypson vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Stefanos Tsitsipas, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Patrick Kypson at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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