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NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Victor Wembanyama [11/14/2025]
Get NBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.

Dimers' NBA props are live for Friday, November 14, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Victor Wembanyama, Draymond Green and Marcus Smart.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Clippers vs. Mavericks and 76ers vs. Pistons, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Friday, 11/14
Sourced from 35+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for November 14, ranked by edge.
Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 10.8%
- Probability: 46.8%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Warriors vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on San Antonio's Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals. A probability of 46.8% gives this play an edge of 10.8% at +178 odds.
Draymond Green over 1.5 steals (+164)
- Edge: 10.8%
- Probability: 48.7%
- Projection: 1.4
- Game: Warriors vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Draymond Green’s steals prop shows a 10.8% edge at +164 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists (+125)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 53.5%
- Projection: 4.1
- Game: Lakers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)
Our model shows value on Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists, supported by a 9.1% edge at +125 odds.
Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks (+164)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 46.8%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Hornets vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Moussa Diabate to put up 1.1 blocks today, creating an edge of 9.0% on the over 1.5 line at +164 odds.
Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 47.1%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Lakers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)
Our model shows value on Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 8.9% edge at +162 odds.
Miles Bridges over 6.5 rebounds (+100)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Projection: 8.1
- Game: Hornets vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)
Miles Bridges’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 8.9% edge at +100 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 8.1 today.
Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals (+164)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 46.6%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Warriors vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects Stephen Curry for 1.3 steals for Golden State, creating an edge of 8.7% on over 1.5 at +164 odds.
Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.6%
- Probability: 46.8%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Trail Blazers vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Alperen Sengun for 1.3 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds and a 8.6% edge.
Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals (+157)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 47.2%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Warriors vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
An 8.3% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Devin Vassell a value play in Warriors vs. Spurs, with our model projecting him for 1.3 steals at +157 odds.
Draymond Green over 5.5 assists (+122)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 53.2%
- Projection: 6.0
- Game: Warriors vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects Draymond Green for 6.0 assists here, creating a 8.1% edge on the over 5.5 line at -130 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Friday, November 14, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:57PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 10.8% | 46.8% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Draymond Green over 1.5 steals | +164 @ DraftKings | 10.8% | 48.7% |
| Lakers vs. Pelicans | Marcus Smart over 3.5 assists | +125 @ BetMGM | 9.0% | 46.8% |
| Hornets vs. Bucks | Moussa Diabate over 1.5 blocks | +164 @ DraftKings | 9.0% | 46.8% |
| Lakers vs. Pelicans | Austin Reaves over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 8.9% | 47.1% |
| Hornets vs. Bucks | Miles Bridges over 6.5 rebounds | +100 @ BetMGM | 8.9% | 58.9% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals | +164 @ FanDuel | 8.7% | 46.6% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals | +162 @ FanDuel | 8.6% | 46.8% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Devin Vassell over 1.5 steals | +157 @ DraftKings | 8.3% | 47.2% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Draymond Green over 5.5 assists | +122 @ FanDuel | 8.1% | 53.2% |
Conclusion
For November 14, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Victor Wembanyama, Draymond Green and Marcus Smart. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
