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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, December 13, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of NBA slate on 12/13.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, December 13, 2025—are live with the Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Brunson and Desmond Bane lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions tonight (December 13, 2025)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | Thunder | 13.4% |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 12.9% |
| Desmond Bane | Magic | 12.4% |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | 12.2% |
| Chet Holmgren | Thunder | 11.2% |
| Jalen Suggs | Magic | 11.1% |
| Paolo Banchero | Magic | 10.7% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Knicks | 10.6% |
| Jalen Williams | Thunder | 10.4% |
| Devin Vassell | Spurs | 9.7% |
| Mikal Bridges | Knicks | 9.5% |
| Stephon Castle | Spurs | 9.4% |
| Anthony Black | Magic | 9.2% |
| OG Anunoby | Knicks | 9.2% |
| Josh Hart | Knicks | 7.8% |
NBA first basket picks today (December 13, 2025)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Black | Magic | 0.1% | +1000 | 9.2% |
| OG Anunoby | Knicks | 0.1% | +1000 | 9.2% |
| Jalen Suggs | Magic | 0.0% | +800 | 11.1% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 12/13.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, December 13, 2025, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Brunson and Desmond Bane lead our first basket projections, while Anthony Black shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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