...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, November 24, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of Monday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, November 24, 2025—are live with the Nuggets' Nikola Jokic projected as the most likely player to score first, according to Dimers’ latest first basket probabilities.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily NBA player projections.
Jokic, Donovan Mitchell and Stephen Curry lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight the top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
NBA first basket predictions today (November 24, 2025)
| Player | Team | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | Nuggets | 20.1% |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cavaliers | 18.4% |
| Stephen Curry | Warriors | 15.3% |
| Deni Avdija | Trail Blazers | 14.5% |
| Jalen Brunson | Knicks | 14.4% |
| Alperen Sengun | Rockets | 13.8% |
| Cade Cunningham | Pistons | 13.8% |
| Lauri Markkanen | Jazz | 13.6% |
| Ryan Rollins | Bucks | 13.6% |
| Pascal Siakam | Pacers | 13.6% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 13.4% |
| Anthony Edwards | Timberwolves | 13.2% |
| Devin Booker | Suns | 13.1% |
| Cooper Flagg | Mavericks | 12.9% |
| Jalen Duren | Pistons | 12.8% |
NBA first basket picks today (November 24, 2025)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | Nuggets | 4.7% | +550 | 20.1% |
| Stephen Curry | Warriors | 3.6% | +750 | 15.3% |
| Ryan Rollins | Bucks | 3.6% | +900 | 13.6% |
| Cooper Flagg | Mavericks | 3.3% | +950 | 12.9% |
| Donovan Mitchell | Cavaliers | 3.0% | +550 | 18.4% |
| Scottie Barnes | Raptors | 2.4% | +950 | 11.9% |
| DeMar DeRozan | Kings | 2.2% | +1100 | 10.6% |
| Bobby Portis | Bucks | 1.7% | +950 | 11.2% |
| Drew Eubanks | Kings | 1.4% | +1000 | 10.5% |
| Amen Thompson | Rockets | 1.4% | +850 | 11.9% |
| Kyle Kuzma | Bucks | 1.2% | +950 | 10.7% |
| Dillon Brooks | Suns | 0.9% | +700 | 13.4% |
| Anthony Edwards | Timberwolves | 0.7% | +700 | 13.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, November 24, 2025, Nikola Jokic, Donovan Mitchell and Stephen Curry lead our first basket projections, with Jokic shaping as the strongest value play at at +550. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ NBA first basket model.
Bet responsibly — help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
Advertiser disclosure