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Mariano Navone vs. Hamad Medjedovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Navone vs Medjedovic predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic are scheduled to meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Italian Open event on Monday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Hamad Medjedovic as the most likely winner of the Navone vs. Medjedovic match.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Navone vs. Medjedovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Navone-Medjedovic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Medjedovic a 55% chance of winning against Navone at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Medjedovic has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Navone (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Mariano Navone vs. Hamad Medjedovic odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Navone | Medjedovic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +126 | -139 |
| First Set | +110 | -139 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-145) | -2.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Navone vs. Medjedovic picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Navone | +126 |
| First Set | Medjedovic | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Mariano Navone to win.
Although Navone is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Navone vs. Medjedovic updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic is scheduled to commence on Monday at 8:10 AM ET.
- Who: Mariano Navone vs. Hamad Medjedovic
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:10 AM ET/5:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Hamad Medjedovic, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Mariano Navone at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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