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Read Article Karolina Pliskova vs. Sinja Kraus prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pliskova vs Kraus predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Karolina Pliskova and Sinja Kraus will lock horns in the round of 128 of the WTA Madrid Open event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Karolina Pliskova as the most likely winner of the Pliskova vs. Kraus match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pliskova vs. Kraus prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Pliskova-Kraus women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Pliskova a 54% chance of defeating Kraus at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Pliskova has a 54% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Pliskova (+0.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Karolina Pliskova vs. Sinja Kraus odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pliskova | Kraus |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 | +100 |
| First Set | -125 | +100 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-150) | -0.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-125) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pliskova vs. Kraus picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pliskova | -110 |
| First Set | Kraus | -125 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karolina Pliskova to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pliskova vs. Kraus updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Karolina Pliskova and Sinja Kraus is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 11:10 AM ET.
- Who: Karolina Pliskova vs. Sinja Kraus
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:10 AM ET/8:10AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Karolina Pliskova, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Sinja Kraus at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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