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Joao Fonseca vs. Ignacio Buse prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026
Get Fonseca vs Buse predictions for ATP Rio Open.

Joao Fonseca and Ignacio Buse are scheduled to meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Rio Open event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Joao Fonseca as the most likely winner of the Fonseca vs. Buse match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Fonseca vs. Buse prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Fonseca-Buse men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Fonseca a 77% chance of winning against Buse at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
Additionally, Fonseca has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fonseca (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Joao Fonseca vs. Ignacio Buse odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fonseca | Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -380 | +330 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-102) | +4.5 (-130) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-118) | u21.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fonseca vs. Buse picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Buse | +330 |
| First Set | Buse | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fonseca vs. Buse updates and essential details
The ATP Rio Open match between Joao Fonseca and Ignacio Buse is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 5:10 PM ET.
- Who: Joao Fonseca vs. Ignacio Buse
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:10 PM ET/2:10PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Joao Fonseca, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Ignacio Buse at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fonseca vs. Buse insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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