Jaume Munar vs. Alexander Shevchenko prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Jaume Munar and Alexander Shevchenko will meet in the round of 128 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jaume Munar as the most likely winner of the Munar vs. Shevchenko match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Munar vs. Shevchenko prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Munar-Shevchenko men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Munar a 59% chance of beating Shevchenko at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Munar has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Shevchenko (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Jaume Munar vs. Alexander Shevchenko odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Munar vs. Shevchenko picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexander Shevchenko to win.

Although Shevchenko is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Munar vs. Shevchenko updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Jaume Munar and Alexander Shevchenko is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 6:10 AM ET.

• Who: Jaume Munar vs. Alexander Shevchenko
• Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jaume Munar, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Alexander Shevchenko at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

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