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Jaime Faria vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rio Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Faria vs Baez predictions for ATP Rio Open.
Jaime Faria and Sebastian Baez will meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Rio Open event on Tuesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Sebastian Baez as the most likely winner of the Faria vs. Baez match.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Faria vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Faria-Baez men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Baez an 81% chance of beating Faria at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
Jaime Faria vs. Sebastian Baez odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Faria | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +370 | -444 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-106) | -4.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-115) | u20.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Faria vs. Baez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baez | -444 |
| First Set | Baez | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Faria vs. Baez updates and essential details
The ATP Rio Open match between Jaime Faria and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: Jaime Faria vs. Sebastian Baez
- Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Sebastian Baez, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Jaime Faria at the ATP Rio Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Faria vs. Baez insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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