Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/13/2026]

Guadalajara will take on Pumas UNAM in Liga MX action on Sunday, starting at 9:07 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner in this Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 53.6% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 21.7% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 24.7% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.7% chance of staying under., with a 51.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +480, Guadalajara -185
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-158/+128)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Pumas UNAM @ +480 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +128 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Guadalajara win being the most probable:

• Guadalajara 1-0 Pumas UNAM (12.5% probability)
• Guadalajara 1-1 Pumas UNAM (11.7%)
• Guadalajara 2-0 Pumas UNAM (10.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to start at 9:07 PM ET.

• Who: Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM
• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 9:07 PM ET/6:07PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 53.6% win probability on Sunday, Pumas UNAM has a 21.7% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.