Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Francisco Cerundolo will square off with Luciano Darderi in the round of 32 at the ATP Madrid event on Monday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Francisco Cerundolo as the most likely winner of the Cerundolo vs. Darderi match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Cerundolo vs. Darderi prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Cerundolo-Darderi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Cerundolo a 65% chance of defeating Darderi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Cerundolo has a 63% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cerundolo (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cerundolo vs. Darderi picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Luciano Darderi to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Cerundolo vs. Darderi updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to start on Monday at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi
• Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Francisco Cerundolo, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Luciano Darderi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

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