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Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Get Cerundolo vs Darderi predictions for ATP Madrid Open.

Francisco Cerundolo will square off with Luciano Darderi in the round of 32 at the ATP Madrid event on Monday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Francisco Cerundolo as the most likely winner of the Cerundolo vs. Darderi match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cerundolo vs. Darderi prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Cerundolo-Darderi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Cerundolo a 63% chance of winning against Darderi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Cerundolo has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Darderi (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -200 | +172 |
| First Set | -175 | +137 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-102) | +3.5 (-132) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cerundolo vs. Darderi picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Darderi | +172 |
| First Set | Darderi | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Luciano Darderi to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cerundolo vs. Darderi updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to begin on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Francisco Cerundolo, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Luciano Darderi at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
